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难产相关的羔羊和母羊死亡率对澳大利亚和新西兰绵羊养殖场的影响:系统评价、荟萃分析和生物经济模型。

The impact of lamb and ewe mortality associated with dystocia on Australian and New Zealand sheep farms: A systematic review, meta-analysis and bio-economic model.

机构信息

Centre for Animal Production and Health, Murdoch University, 90 South Street, Murdoch, WA, 6150, Australia.

Farming Systems Analysis Service, 476 Tindale Rd, Kentdale, WA, 6333, Australia.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 2021 Nov;196:105478. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2021.105478. Epub 2021 Sep 2.

DOI:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2021.105478
PMID:34487918
Abstract

Dystocia contributes to lamb and ewe mortality in the periparturient period but impacts for extensive sheep production systems remain poorly understood. Here we show that lamb and ewe mortality associated with dystocia has important impacts on sheep production in Australia and New Zealand, and quantify financial impacts for the Australian sheep industry. A systematic review of the literature identified 11 publications published since 1990 that reported sheep mortality due to dystocia in Australia or New Zealand. Assumptions for ewe breeding flock structure and reproductive performance were based on Australian sheep industry data. The proportion of lamb mortality attributable to dystocia (including stillbirths and perinatal deaths with evidence of hypoxic injury) pooled across all studies (pooled proportional mortality ratio) was 47 % (95 % Confidence Interval (CI): 38, 55). Pooled proportional mortality ratio for Australian studies was 53 % (95 %CI: 47, 60), and for New Zealand studies was 35 % (95 %CI: 19, 51). Pooled proportional mortality ratio was similar for lambs born to Merino and non-Merino ewes, although more data are needed to determine effects of ewe breed independent of other factors. Pooled proportional mortality ratio was higher for single lambs (59 %; 95 % CI: 55, 63) than twin (47 %; 41, 54) or triplet (49 %; 46, 52) lambs. However, the number of dystocia-associated mortalities is higher for twin-born lambs than for singles because total mortality is higher for twin-born lambs. It is estimated that approximately 7.7 million lamb deaths and 297,500 ewe deaths per year are attributable to dystocia in Australia for the national flock of 38 million breeding ewes. The whole-farm bio-economic Model of an Integrated Dryland Agricultural System (MIDAS) was used to determine the impacts of dystocia-associated ewe and lamb mortality on Australian farm profit. Dystocia is estimated to reduce Australian national farm profit by AU$780 million or $23.00 per ewe mated based on an assumed lamb sale price of AU$6.50 per kg carcass weight. These estimates do not include the costs of reduced productivity for surviving ewes and lambs, intervention, post-farmgate impacts, delayed genetic progress, or impacts on animal welfare and access into sheep meat and wool markets. Reducing dystocia through improved genetics and sheep management will improve animal welfare and farm profit.

摘要

难产导致围产期羔羊和母羊死亡率上升,但对大型绵羊生产系统的影响仍知之甚少。在这里,我们展示了与难产相关的羔羊和母羊死亡率对澳大利亚和新西兰的绵羊生产有重要影响,并量化了澳大利亚绵羊业的经济影响。对文献的系统回顾确定了 11 项自 1990 年以来发表的出版物,这些出版物报告了在澳大利亚或新西兰发生的与难产有关的绵羊死亡率。假设母羊繁殖羊群结构和繁殖性能基于澳大利亚绵羊业数据。所有研究中归因于难产的羔羊死亡率(包括死产和围产期死亡并有缺氧损伤证据)的比例为 47%(95%置信区间(CI):38,55)。澳大利亚研究的比例为 53%(95%CI:47,60),新西兰研究的比例为 35%(95%CI:19,51)。在美利奴羊和非美利奴羊的母羊所产的羔羊中,比例相似,尽管需要更多的数据来确定除其他因素外,母羊品种的影响。单胎羔羊的比例较高(59%;95%CI:55,63),而双胎(47%;41,54)或三胎(49%;46,52)羔羊的比例较低。然而,由于双胎羔羊的总死亡率较高,因此与难产相关的死亡数量高于单胎羔羊。据估计,在澳大利亚,由于全国 3800 万只繁殖母羊,每年约有 770 万只羔羊和 29.75 万只母羊死于难产。使用综合旱地农业系统的整体农场生物经济模型(MIDAS)来确定与难产相关的母羊和羔羊死亡率对澳大利亚农场利润的影响。据估计,难产将使澳大利亚全国农场利润减少 7.8 亿澳元,或每只配种母羊减少 23.00 澳元,假设羔羊销售价格为每公斤胴体重量 6.50 澳元。这些估计不包括幸存母羊和羔羊生产力下降、干预、农场后影响、遗传进展延迟或对动物福利以及进入羊肉和羊毛市场的影响的成本。通过改进遗传和绵羊管理来减少难产将提高动物福利和农场利润。

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