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放任策略加眼罩,瑞典抗疫立大功。

A Laissez-Faire Strategy Marked by Blinkers to Fulfill Established Pandemic Goals-The Case of Sweden.

机构信息

School of Communication, Leadership and Marketing, Kristiania University College, 0107 Oslo, Norway.

Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Murcia, 30100 Murcia, Spain.

出版信息

Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2021 Sep 10;18(18):9551. doi: 10.3390/ijerph18189551.

DOI:10.3390/ijerph18189551
PMID:34574473
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8472601/
Abstract

OBJECTIVES

To examine (i.e., contextualize and visualize) the consequences of a laissez-faire strategy characterized by blinkers to fulfill established pandemic goals. The aim is to shed light on the implementation of pandemic measures based on post hoc (after-the-fact) reactions and actions instead of pre hoc ones (in advance).

STUDY DESIGN

This study is based on weekly updates of pandemic variables (i.e., cases, tests, percentage of positive tests, hospitalizations, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admissions, deceased, and 7- and 14-day incidence) in Sweden from the start of the pandemic in March 2020 until March 2021.

METHOD

This study reports the empirical findings based on Swedish pandemic variables during 52 consecutive weeks, related to the pandemic, all of which has been divided into three time periods to separate the 1st and 2nd waves of the pandemic, and considers them all together as one time period.

RESULTS

The findings illustrate the implementation of pandemic measures and the subsequent consequences of a laissez-faire strategy characterized by blinkers. People become diseased and then deceased. This reveals strong associations between the assessed pandemic variables and its subsequent consequences on morbidity and mortality, based on post hoc reactions and actions.

CONCLUSIONS

The implementation of a pandemic strategy should react and act pre hoc, and to take the safe with the unsafe. Governments and public health agencies should take into account the inevitable associations between pandemic variables. Intertwined pre hoc measures of prevention, enforcement, and monitoring should be implemented in society to avoid the implementation of a laissez-faire strategy based on post hoc reactions and actions.

摘要

目的

考察(即语境化和可视化)以眼罩为特征的放任策略实现既定大流行目标的后果。目的是阐明基于事后(事后)反应和行动而不是预先(提前)实施大流行措施的情况。

研究设计

本研究基于 2020 年 3 月大流行开始至 2021 年 3 月期间瑞典每周更新的大流行变量(即病例、检测、阳性检测百分比、住院、重症监护病房(ICU)入院、死亡以及 7 天和 14 天发病率)。

方法

本研究报告了基于瑞典大流行变量的实证发现,这些变量与大流行相关,所有这些变量都被分为三个时间段,以分离大流行的第一波和第二波,并将它们视为一个时间段。

结果

研究结果说明了在整个大流行期间实施大流行措施以及随之而来的眼罩特征放任策略的后果。人们患病然后死亡。这揭示了评估的大流行变量及其随后对发病率和死亡率的后果之间的强烈关联,这基于事后反应和行动。

结论

大流行策略的实施应该预先反应和行动,并采取安全与不安全的措施。政府和公共卫生机构应考虑到大流行变量之间不可避免的关联。应在社会中实施预防、执行和监测的预先措施,以避免基于事后反应和行动的放任策略的实施。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/02bd/8472601/2398420d2798/ijerph-18-09551-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/02bd/8472601/2398420d2798/ijerph-18-09551-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/02bd/8472601/2398420d2798/ijerph-18-09551-g001.jpg

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