Department of Epidemiology, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China.
Department of Epidemiology, Ningbo Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ningbo, China.
BMJ Open. 2021 Sep 30;11(9):e048324. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-048324.
Accumulating literature has shown the predictive values of inflammation and nutrition-based biomarkers in the prognosis of oesophageal cancer but with inconsistent findings.
We performed a meta-analysis to systematically evaluate the predictive value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), C reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR), systemic inflammation index (SII), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) in oesophageal cancer. The outcome indicators include the overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). We applied pooled HR, sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio, negative likelihood ratio, diagnostic odds ratio and area under the curve together with 95% CI to estimate the predictive accuracy.
A total of 72 studies, including 22 260 patients, were included in the meta-analysis. Elevated NLR, PLR CAR, SII, GPS, mGPS and decreased LMR and PNI were associated with poor OS of oesophageal cancer. A high level of NLR, PLR and GPS was related to poor DFS. A high level of NLR and GPS was related to poor CSS. The summarised AUC of CAR (0.72, 95% CI: 0.68 to 0.75) and mGPS (0.75, 95% CI: 0.71 to 0.78) surpassed any other indicators.
Clinical indicators such as NLR, PLR, LMR, PNI, SII, CAR, GPS and mGPS have the moderate predictive ability in OS, DFS and CSS of oesophageal cancer. The pretreatment level of CAR and mGPS showed an outstanding prediction value in 5-year OS for oesophageal cancer.
越来越多的文献表明,炎症和营养相关生物标志物在预测食管癌预后方面具有一定价值,但研究结果并不一致。
我们进行了一项荟萃分析,系统评估中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、血小板与淋巴细胞比值(PLR)、淋巴细胞与单核细胞比值(LMR)、C 反应蛋白与白蛋白比值(CAR)、全身炎症指数(SII)、预后营养指数(PNI)、格拉斯哥预后评分(GPS)和改良格拉斯哥预后评分(mGPS)在食管癌中的预测价值。结局指标包括总生存期(OS)、无病生存期(DFS)和癌症特异性生存期(CSS)。我们采用合并 HR、敏感度、特异度、阳性似然比、阴性似然比、诊断比值比和曲线下面积(AUC)及 95%CI 来评估预测准确性。
共有 72 项研究,包括 22260 例患者,纳入荟萃分析。升高的 NLR、PLR、CAR、SII、GPS、mGPS 和降低的 LMR、PNI 与食管癌 OS 不良相关。高 NLR、PLR 和 GPS 与 DFS 不良相关。高 NLR 和 GPS 与 CSS 不良相关。CAR(0.72,95%CI:0.68 至 0.75)和 mGPS(0.75,95%CI:0.71 至 0.78)的汇总 AUC 优于任何其他指标。
NLR、PLR、LMR、PNI、SII、CAR、GPS 和 mGPS 等临床指标对 OS、DFS 和 CSS 具有中等预测能力。CAR 和 mGPS 的治疗前水平在食管癌 5 年 OS 中具有较好的预测价值。