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控制营养状况评分作为老年患者院内死亡率的预测指标

Controlling Nutritional Status Score as a Predictive Marker of In-hospital Mortality in Older Adult Patients.

作者信息

Liu Chengyu, Zhu Mingwei, Yang Xin, Cui Hongyuan, Li Zijian, Wei Junmin

机构信息

Department of General Surgery, Beijing Hospital, National Center of Gerontology, Institute of Geriatric Medicine, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Front Nutr. 2021 Sep 20;8:738045. doi: 10.3389/fnut.2021.738045. eCollection 2021.

Abstract

The controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score assesses nutritional status and is associated with short- and long-term prognoses in some diseases, but the significance of the CONUT score for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in older adults is unknown. The purpose was to determine the importance of the CONUT score for the prediction of in-hospital mortality, short-term complications, length of hospital stay, and hospital costs in older adults. Our retrospective cohort study analyzed data from 11,795 older adult patients from two multicenter cohort studies. We performed receiver operating characteristic curve analysis using in-hospital mortality as the endpoint and determined the appropriate CONUT score cut-off by the Youden index. The patients were divided into two high and low groups according to the CONUT cut-off value, and the differences in clinical characteristics and in-hospital clinical outcomes between the two groups were compared. We compared the accuracy of the CONUT score and other nutrition-related tools in predicting in-hospital mortality by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and performed univariate and multivariate analyses of predictors of in-hospital mortality. Among all the patients, 178 (1.5%) patients experienced in-hospital death. The optimal cut-off values was 5.5 for the CONUT score. The high CONUT group had a higher incidence of short-term complications and prolonged hospital stay than the low CONUT group (CONUT score <6), but hospital costs were not significantly higher. The CONUT score had the highest predictive ability for in-hospital mortality among the five nutrition-related parameters compared. Multivariate analysis showed that a high CONUT score (CONUT score ≥ 6) was an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality. In conclusion, the present study demonstrated that the CONUT score could be used to predict in-hospital mortality in older adults.

摘要

控制营养状态(CONUT)评分用于评估营养状况,并且在某些疾病中与短期和长期预后相关,但CONUT评分对于预测老年人院内死亡率的意义尚不清楚。本研究旨在确定CONUT评分在预测老年人院内死亡率、短期并发症、住院时间和住院费用方面的重要性。我们的回顾性队列研究分析了来自两项多中心队列研究的11795例老年患者的数据。我们以院内死亡率为终点进行受试者工作特征曲线分析,并通过约登指数确定合适的CONUT评分临界值。根据CONUT临界值将患者分为高低两组,比较两组之间的临床特征和院内临床结局差异。我们通过计算受试者工作特征曲线下面积,比较了CONUT评分和其他营养相关工具预测院内死亡率的准确性,并对院内死亡率的预测因素进行了单因素和多因素分析。在所有患者中,178例(1.5%)患者发生院内死亡。CONUT评分的最佳临界值为5.5。CONUT评分高的组(CONUT评分≥6)短期并发症发生率和住院时间延长均高于CONUT评分低的组(CONUT评分<6),但住院费用没有显著升高。在比较的五个营养相关参数中,CONUT评分对院内死亡率的预测能力最高。多因素分析显示,高CONUT评分(CONUT评分≥6)是院内死亡率的独立预测因素。总之,本研究表明CONUT评分可用于预测老年人的院内死亡率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1697/8488127/bfd5f33fcbcc/fnut-08-738045-g0001.jpg

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