Division of Cardiology; Stanford Cardiovascular Institute, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California.
Division of Cardiology; Stanford Cardiovascular Institute, Department of Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California.
J Heart Lung Transplant. 2022 Jan;41(1):37-47. doi: 10.1016/j.healun.2021.09.002. Epub 2021 Sep 13.
The advent of direct-acting antiviral therapy for Hepatitis C (HCV) has made using HCV-viremic donors a viable strategy to address the donor shortage in heart transplantation. We employed a large-scale simulation to evaluate the impact and cost-effectiveness of using HCV-viremic donors for heart transplant.
We simulated detailed histories from time of listing until death for the real-world cohort of all adults listed for heart transplant in the United States from July 2014 to June 2019 (n = 19,346). This population was imputed using historical data and captures "real-world" heterogeneity in geographic and clinical characteristics. We estimated the impact of an intervention in which all candidates accept HCV+ potential donors (n = 472) on transplant volume, waitlist outcomes, and lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs).
The intervention produced 232 more transplants, 132 fewer delistings due to deterioration, and 50 fewer waitlist deaths within this 5-year cohort and reduced wait times by 3% to 11% (varying by priority status). The intervention was cost-effective, adding an average of 0.08 QALYs per patient at a cost of $124 million ($81,892 per QALY). DAA therapy and HCV care combined account for 11% this cost, with the remainder due to higher costs of transplant procedures and routine post-transplant care. The impact on transplant volume varied by blood type and region and was correlated with donor-to-candidate ratio (ρ = 0.71).
Transplanting HCV+ donor hearts is likely to be cost-effective and improve waitlist outcomes, particularly in regions and subgroups experiencing high donor scarcity.
直接作用抗病毒疗法(DAA)在丙型肝炎(HCV)治疗中的出现,使得使用 HCV 病毒血症供者成为解决心脏移植供体短缺的可行策略。我们采用大规模模拟来评估使用 HCV 病毒血症供者进行心脏移植的影响和成本效益。
我们模拟了从列入名单到死亡的详细时间线,对象是美国 2014 年 7 月至 2019 年 6 月期间所有列入心脏移植名单的成年人的真实队列(n=19346)。该队列通过历史数据进行推断,捕捉到了地理和临床特征方面的“真实世界”异质性。我们估计了一种干预措施的影响,即所有候选者都接受 HCV+潜在供者(n=472),以评估其对移植量、等待名单结果、终生成本和质量调整生命年(QALY)的影响。
在这个 5 年队列中,该干预措施使移植量增加了 232 例,恶化导致的退出减少了 132 例,等待名单死亡减少了 50 例,等待时间缩短了 3%至 11%(因优先级状态而异)。该干预措施具有成本效益,使每位患者的平均 QALY 增加了 0.08,成本为 1.24 亿美元(每 QALY 为 81892 美元)。DAA 治疗和 HCV 护理合计占该成本的 11%,其余部分归因于移植手术和常规移植后护理费用的增加。移植量的影响因血型和地区而异,并与供体与候选者的比例相关(ρ=0.71)。
移植 HCV+供者心脏可能具有成本效益,并改善等待名单的结果,特别是在供体严重短缺的地区和亚组中。