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研究希腊长期暴露于空气污染和绿化环境与神经、心血管代谢和慢性阻塞性肺疾病死亡率之间的关联。

Investigating the association between long-term exposure to air pollution and greenness with mortality from neurological, cardio-metabolic and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases in Greece.

机构信息

Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece.

Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, School of Medicine, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece; Environmental Research Group, MRC Centre for Environment and Health, Imperial College, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Environ Pollut. 2022 Jan 1;292(Pt B):118372. doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2021.118372. Epub 2021 Oct 14.

Abstract

Long-term exposure to air pollution has been associated with increased natural-cause mortality, but the evidence on diagnoses-specific mortality outcomes is limited. Few studies have examined the potential synergistic effects of exposure to pollutants and greenness. We investigated the association between exposure to air pollution and greenness with nervous system related mortality, cardiometabolic and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases (COPD) mortality in Greece, using an ecological study design. We collected socioeconomic and mortality data for 1035 municipal units from the 2011 Census. Annual PM, NO, BC and O concentrations for 2010 were predicted at 100 × 100 m grids by hybrid land use regression models. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) was used for greenness. We applied single and two-exposure Poisson regression models on standardized mortality rates accounting for spatial autocorrelation. We assessed interactions between pollutants and greenness. An interquartile range increase in PM, NO and BC was associated with increased risk in mortality from diseases of the nervous system (relative risk (RR): 1.14, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01, 1.28); 1.03 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.07); 1.05 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.10) respectively) and from cerebrovascular disease (RR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.10, 1.18); 1.02 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.04); 1.02 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.04) respectively). PM was associated with ischemic heart disease mortality (RR: 1.05, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.10). We estimated inverse associations for all outcomes with O and for mortality from diseases of the nervous system or COPD with greenness. Estimates were mostly robust to co-exposure adjustment. Interactions were identified between NDVI and O or PM on mortality from the diseases of the nervous system, with higher effect estimates in greener areas. Our findings support the adverse effects of air pollution and the beneficial role of greenness on cardiovascular and nervous system related mortality. Further research is needed on diabetes mellitus.

摘要

长期暴露于空气污染与自然原因导致的死亡率增加有关,但有关特定诊断导致的死亡率结果的证据有限。很少有研究调查接触污染物和绿化与潜在的协同效应。我们使用生态研究设计,研究了暴露于空气污染和绿化与神经系统相关死亡率、心血管代谢和慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)死亡率之间的关系,该研究在希腊进行。我们从 2011 年的人口普查中收集了 1035 个市单位的社会经济和死亡率数据。使用混合土地利用回归模型,在 100×100 米网格上预测了 2010 年的年 PM、NO、BC 和 O 浓度。归一化植被指数(NDVI)用于绿化。我们应用单暴露和双暴露泊松回归模型,对考虑空间自相关的标准化死亡率进行了分析。我们评估了污染物和绿化之间的相互作用。PM、NO 和 BC 的四分位距增加与神经系统疾病死亡率的增加相关(相对风险(RR):1.14,95%置信区间(CI):1.01,1.28);1.03(95%CI:0.99,1.07);1.05(95%CI:1.00,1.10))和脑血管疾病死亡率(RR:1.14,95%CI:1.10,1.18);1.02(95%CI:1.01,1.04);1.02(95%CI:1.00,1.04))。PM 与缺血性心脏病死亡率相关(RR:1.05,95%CI:1.01,1.10)。我们估计所有结果与 O 呈负相关,与神经系统疾病或 COPD 死亡率与绿化呈正相关。估计结果在调整共同暴露后基本保持不变。在神经系统疾病死亡率方面,NDVI 与 O 或 PM 之间存在相互作用,在绿化程度较高的地区,估计值更高。我们的研究结果支持空气污染的不良影响以及绿化对心血管和神经系统相关死亡率的有益作用。需要进一步研究糖尿病。

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