[Evaluation of clinical examination parameters and a scoring system in equine colic as well as the assessment of their prognostic value].

SUBJECT AND AIM

In horses, colic is associated with relatively high mortality rates. Identification of parameters associated with poor outcome may aid in providing a more accurate prognosis. This study aimed to assess the early prognostic value towards survival of the horse based on parameters of the clinical examination.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

In a retrospective study (2013-2017), results of the clinical examination of horses with colic were analyzed. Obtained parameters were categorized from physiologic up to different pathophysiologic manifestations. The risk of death was calculated as odds ratios in comparison to normal values of these parameters. Individual score points were obtained and related to the respective outcome. Cut-off values for prognosis and treatment were calculated to distinguish between outcome and treatment group.

RESULTS

A total of 492 colic horses were analyzed, presenting 433 survivors (88 %). Overall, medical treatment was selected in 346 (70.3 %) horses (with 96 % survivors) and surgical treatment (laparotomy) was performed in 146 (29.7 %) horses (69.2 % survivors). An increased likelihood of the outcome "death" was found in horses aged over 20 years (OR = 5.498, p < 0.0005), with colic signs of > 6 hours duration (OR = 3.590, p = 0.035) and, also, for breeds of draft horses (OR = 8.364, p < 0.0005). Horses with significant increases in heart and respiratory rates (OR = 24.294, p < 0.0005 and OR = 20.375, p < 0.0005, respectively) and increased blood lactate concentrations (> 90 mg/dl: OR = 26.390, p < 0.0005) were more likely to succumb to the disease. However, a scoring system failed to show an association between high score points and poor prognosis.

CONCLUSION AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Parameters of the clinical examination as well as the history of the patient may be indicative for the patient's outcome. However, no clear-cut distinction of the evaluated parameters towards survival and treatment options was obtained. A careful investigation of the patient remains mandatory for selection of treatment and a proper assessment of prognosis.