Quantitative Plant Ecology and Biodiversity Research Lab, Department of Biology, Faculty of Science, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, 9177948974, Mashhad, Iran.
Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Engineering, College of Agriculture, Shiraz University, 71441, 65186, Shiraz, Iran.
Environ Monit Assess. 2021 Oct 30;193(11):759. doi: 10.1007/s10661-021-09551-8.
Determining suitable habitats is important for the successful management and conservation of plant and wildlife species. Teucrium polium L. is a wild plant species found in Iran. It is widely used to treat numerous health problems. The range of this plant is shrinking due to habitat destruction and overexploitation. Therefore, habitat suitability (HS) modeling is critical for conservation. HS modeling can also identify the key characteristics of habitats that support this species. This study models the habitats of T. polium using five data mining models: random forest (RF), flexible discriminant analysis (FDA), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), support vector machine (SVM), and generalized linear model (GLM). A total of 119 T. poliumlocations were identified and mapped. According to the RF model, the most important factors describing T. polium habitat were elevation, soil texture, and mean annual rainfall. HS maps (HSMs) were prepared, and habitat suitability was classified as low, medium, high, or very high. The percentages of the study area assigned high or very high suitability ratings by each of the models were 44.62% for FDA, 43.75% for GLM, 43.12% for SVM, 38.91% for RF, 28.72% for MARS, and 39.16% for their ensemble. Although the six models were reasonably accurate, the ensemble model had the highest AUC value, demonstrating a strong predictive performance. The rank order of the other models in this regard is RF, MARS, SVM, FDA, and GLM. HSMs can provide useful output to support the sustainable management of rangelands, reclamation, and land protection.
确定适宜栖息地对于成功管理和保护植物和野生动物物种非常重要。Teucrium polium L. 是一种在伊朗发现的野生植物物种。它被广泛用于治疗许多健康问题。由于栖息地破坏和过度开发,这种植物的分布范围正在缩小。因此,栖息地适宜性 (HS) 建模对于保护至关重要。HS 建模还可以确定支持该物种的栖息地的关键特征。本研究使用五种数据挖掘模型:随机森林 (RF)、灵活判别分析 (FDA)、多元自适应回归样条 (MARS)、支持向量机 (SVM) 和广义线性模型 (GLM) 对 T. polium 的栖息地进行建模。共确定并绘制了 119 个 T. polium 位置。根据 RF 模型,描述 T. polium 栖息地的最重要因素是海拔、土壤质地和年平均降雨量。制作了 HS 图 (HSM),并将栖息地适宜性分为低、中、高或极高。每个模型对研究区域分配高或极高适宜性评分的百分比分别为:FDA 为 44.62%、GLM 为 43.75%、SVM 为 43.12%、RF 为 38.91%、MARS 为 28.72%和它们的集成模型为 39.16%。尽管这六个模型都相当准确,但集成模型的 AUC 值最高,表明具有较强的预测性能。在这方面,其他模型的排名顺序是 RF、MARS、SVM、FDA 和 GLM。HSM 可以提供有用的输出,以支持牧场的可持续管理、开垦和土地保护。