James William H M, Lomax Nik, Birkin Mark, Collins Lisa M
School of Geography and Leeds Institute for Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire LS2 9JT UK.
Faculty of Biological Sciences, University of Leeds, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds, West Yorkshire LS2 9JT UK.
Appl Spat Anal Policy. 2021;14(3):563-590. doi: 10.1007/s12061-020-09344-5. Epub 2020 Jun 16.
The future of the meat industry will require the management of important trade-offs between economic, environmental and health aspects of both humans and animals. Understanding the patterns and trends of meat expenditure and consumption is crucial for assessing the current resilience of the system and for economic, planning, health and environmental applications. Here, we show how the technique of geodemographic classification, combined with fine scale expenditure estimates can be used to explore temporal and spatial patterns of meat expenditure in Great Britain between 2008 and 2017. Whilst the expenditure patterns of some food categories such as sausages remained relatively consistent, others such as lamb show a trend towards a reduced proportion of expenditure and increased inequality of purchases. Short term changes in expenditure patterns also occurred, potentially due to product specific price variability, price elasticities or zoonotic disease scare. Environmental attitudes, financial constraints and the prominence of communities who do not eat meat for religious or cultural reasons are likely to be driving the differences between geodemographic groups. The methodology and results could be a valuable tool for policy makers in the meat industry and beyond.
肉类行业的未来将需要在人类和动物的经济、环境及健康方面进行重要权衡的管理。了解肉类支出和消费的模式及趋势对于评估该系统当前的恢复力以及经济规划、健康和环境应用而言至关重要。在此,我们展示了地理人口分类技术与精细的支出估算相结合,如何用于探究2008年至2017年间英国肉类支出的时空模式。虽然某些食品类别(如香肠)的支出模式保持相对一致,但其他类别(如羊肉)则呈现出支出比例下降和购买不平等加剧的趋势。支出模式也出现了短期变化,这可能是由于特定产品的价格波动、价格弹性或人畜共患病恐慌所致。环境态度、经济限制以及因宗教或文化原因不吃肉的群体的突出性,可能是造成地理人口群体之间差异的原因。该方法和结果可能成为肉类行业及其他领域政策制定者的宝贵工具。