School of Public Health and Preventative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia.
Center for Bioethics and Humanities, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO 80045.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2022 Feb;142:171-183. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2021.11.016. Epub 2021 Nov 12.
To investigate how often review authors encounter multiple results from included studies that are eligible for inclusion in a particular meta-analysis, and how often methods to select results are specified.
MEDLINE and Epistemonikos were searched (January 2018-June 2019) to identify systematic reviews with meta-analysis of the association between food/diet and health-related outcomes. A random sample of these reviews was selected, and for the first presented (index) meta-analysis, rules used to select effect estimates to include in this meta-analysis were extracted from the reviews and their protocols. All effect estimates from the primary studies that were eligible for inclusion in the index meta-analyses were extracted (e.g., when a study report presented effect estimates for blood pressure at 3 weeks and 6 weeks, both unadjusted and adjusted for covariates, and all were eligible for inclusion in a meta-analysis of the effect of red meat consumption on blood pressure, we extracted all estimates, and classified the study as having "multiplicity of results").
Forty-two systematic reviews with 325 studies (104 randomized, 221 non-randomized) were included; 14 reviews had a protocol. In 29% of review protocols and 69% of reviews, authors specified at least one decision rule to select effect estimates when multiple were available. In 68% of studies included in the index meta-analyses, there was at least one type of multiplicity of results.
Authors of systematic reviews of nutrition studies should anticipate encountering multiplicity of results in the included primary studies. Specification of methods to handle multiplicity when designing reviews is therefore recommended.
调查综述作者在特定的荟萃分析中遇到多少篇符合纳入条件的研究报告中存在多个结果的情况,以及他们规定选择结果的方法有多少次。
检索 MEDLINE 和 Epistemonikos(2018 年 1 月至 2019 年 6 月),以确定对食物/饮食与健康相关结局之间关联的系统评价和荟萃分析。从这些综述中随机抽取一部分,并对首次呈现的(索引)荟萃分析,从综述及其方案中提取用于选择纳入该荟萃分析的效应估计值的规则。从符合索引荟萃分析纳入标准的主要研究中提取所有合格的效应估计值(例如,当一项研究报告呈现了在 3 周和 6 周时的血压的未调整和调整协变量的效应估计值,并且所有这些估计值都符合红肉类摄入对血压影响的荟萃分析纳入标准时,我们会提取所有的估计值,并将该研究归类为“结果多样性”)。
共纳入 42 项系统综述,涉及 325 项研究(104 项随机对照,221 项非随机对照);14 项综述有方案。在 29%的综述方案和 69%的综述中,作者在有多个可用的效应估计值时,至少规定了一个选择效应估计值的决策规则。在纳入索引荟萃分析的研究中,有 68%的研究存在至少一种类型的结果多样性。
营养研究系统评价的作者应该预料到纳入的主要研究中会出现结果多样性。因此,建议在设计综述时规定处理多样性的方法。