Relapse rates and risk factors for unfavorable neurological prognosis of transverse myelitis in systemic lupus erythematosus: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND

Transverse myelitis (TM) is a rare but severe systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) manifestation. To date, the prognostic factors for SLE-associated TM have been far less well-studied. There are also controversial data on the association of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPLs), Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI) score, longitudinal extensive transverse myelitis (LETM), and decreased complement levels with the outcome of TM. We aimed to review the potential prognostic factors and integrate relapse rates of observational studies for SLE-associated TM.

METHOD

To review the prognosis for SLE-associated TM, relevant articles published up to July 30, 2021, were comprehensively and systematically identified from PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science databases. Five studies encompassing 283 patients with SLE-related TM were included in this meta-analysis; raw data were obtained from three studies.

RESULTS

The risk factors for unfavorable neurological outcome included demographic features, clinical characteristics, laboratory data, among which a grade of A, B or C on the American Spinal Injury Association Impairment Scale (AIS) at the onset of TM was associated with poor prognosis (OR: 56.05, 95% CI: 6.29-499.25, P < 0.001). The presence of hypoglycorrhachia was also correlated with a worse prognosis (OR: 10.78, 95% CI: 3.74-31.07, P < 0.001). No noticeable correlation was revealed between a poor outcome and positive aPLs and different aPLs profiles (anticardiolipin antibody [aCL], anti-β2-glycoprotein I (anti-β2GPI], lupus anticoagulant [LA]). The pooled 1-, 3- and 5-year relapse rates were 22% (95% CI: 0.13-0.31), 34% (95% CI: 0.22-0.47) and 36% (95% CI: 0.14-0.58), respectively. No significant publication bias was found.

CONCLUSION

A grade of A, B, or C on the AIS at initial TM and the presence of hypoglycorrhachia were found to be related to a worse prognosis in patients with SLE-associated TM. Notably, aPLs and different aPLs profiles may not suggest poor neurological outcome. The long-term relapse rate of patients with SLE-associated TM was relatively high. We recommend that treatment be stratified based on the initial severity of myelitis. For patients with severe myelitis, early intensive therapy may be initiated as soon as possible.