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[1992 - 2019年中国预防母婴传播策略的乙肝疫苗接种成本效益分析]

[Cost-benefit analysis of the hepatitis B vaccination to prevent mother-to-child transmission strategies in China, 1992-2019].

作者信息

Zheng H, Wang F Z, Zhang G M, Miao N, Liang X F, Yin Z D

机构信息

Department of National Immunization Program,Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China.

School of Medicine Jinan University, Guangzhou 510632, China.

出版信息

Zhonghua Liu Xing Bing Xue Za Zhi. 2021 Sep 10;42(9):1537-1545. doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20210319-00226.

Abstract

To make a cost-benefit analysis of the hepatitis B vaccination (HepB) to prevent mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) strategies in China, 1992-2019. We built a decision analytic-Markov model to estimate the birth cohorts of 1992-2019. The parameters in our model were referred from literature, published yearbooks, and data from Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. We conducted a univariate sensitivity analysis to test the robustness of the model. For the 28 birth cohorts, the Chinese government has invested 37.43 billion RMB Yuan in direct costs and 47.61 billion RMB Yuan in societal costs on HepB vaccination and HBV prevention of mother to child transmission (PMTCT). And we estimated that about 50 million chronic HBV infections and 12.5 million premature deaths due to HBV-related diseases would be averted. China would save 2.89 trillion RMB Yuan and 6.92 trillion RMB Yuan for the direct and societal medical burden on HBV-related conditions. The direct and societal net benefit was 2.85 trillion RMB yuan 6.87 trillion RMB yuan, respectively. The direct and societal benefit-cost ratios (BCRs) were 77.21 and 145.29, respectively. The strategies of HepB vaccination for HBV PMTCT prevention were cost-effective in China during 1992-2019.

摘要

对1992 - 2019年中国预防乙肝母婴传播(PMTCT)策略的乙肝疫苗接种进行成本效益分析。我们构建了一个决策分析 - 马尔可夫模型来估计1992 - 2019年的出生队列。我们模型中的参数参考了文献、已出版的年鉴以及中国疾病预防控制中心的数据。我们进行了单因素敏感性分析以检验模型的稳健性。对于这28个出生队列,中国政府在乙肝疫苗接种和预防乙肝母婴传播方面的直接成本投入为374.3亿元人民币,社会成本投入为476.1亿元人民币。并且我们估计,大约可避免5000万例慢性乙肝感染以及1250万例因乙肝相关疾病导致的过早死亡。中国将为乙肝相关疾病的直接和社会医疗负担节省2.89万亿元人民币和6.92万亿元人民币。直接和社会净效益分别为2.85万亿元人民币和6.87万亿元人民币。直接和社会效益成本比(BCR)分别为77.21和145.29。1992 - 2019年期间,在中国,预防乙肝母婴传播的乙肝疫苗接种策略具有成本效益。

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