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显微镜下多血管炎死亡率的预测因素:一项单中心研究。

Predictive factors of mortality in granulomatosis with polyangiitis: A single-center study.

作者信息

Aydın Tufan Müge, Tekkarışmaz Nihan

机构信息

Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Rheumatology, Başkent University Faculty of Medicine, Adana, Turkey.

Department of Nephrology, Başkent University Faculty of Medicine, Adana, Turkey.

出版信息

Arch Rheumatol. 2021 Feb 8;36(3):435-444. doi: 10.46497/ArchRheumatol.2021.8594. eCollection 2021 Sep.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to identify predictors of mortality in granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) patients and to seek the ways of improving survival in GPA patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between January 2005 and June 2020, a total of 60 patients (26 males, 34 females; median age: 49 years; range, 19 to 75 years) who were diagnosed with GPA were retrospectively analyzed. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and radiological findings of all patients were recorded. Survival rates were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier plot.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 36 months, and 10 (16.7%) patients died during the study period. Univariate analysis showed that the prognostic values were attributed to high serum creatinine levels (>2.1 mg/dL; p=0.01), proteinuria (p=0.01), dialysis-requiring renal damage at the time of diagnosis (p=0.01) or at any time during follow-up (p=0.01), low lymphocyte levels (p=0.01), hypoalbuminemia (p=0.04), absence of upper respiratory tract involvement (p=0.01), presence of lung involvement with cavitary lesions (p=0.01), high Birmingham Vascular Activity Score (p=0.02), and history of serious infection (p=0.01). In the multivariate analysis, the presence of renal damage requiring dialysis at any time during follow-up (relative risk [95% confidence interval]: 21 [4.1-18.3]; p=0.01) was found to be an independent predictor of mortality. Immunosuppressive drugs exerted no effect on mortality, and the most common causes of death were infections (50%).

CONCLUSION

The presence of dialysis-requiring renal damage is the most important risk factor for mortality in GPA patients. These patients should be followed more closely and carefully to improve survival.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在确定肉芽肿性多血管炎(GPA)患者的死亡预测因素,并探寻提高GPA患者生存率的方法。

患者与方法

回顾性分析2005年1月至2020年6月期间共60例诊断为GPA的患者(26例男性,34例女性;中位年龄:49岁;范围19至75岁)。记录所有患者的人口统计学、临床、实验室及影像学检查结果。采用Kaplan-Meier曲线分析生存率。

结果

中位随访时间为36个月,研究期间有10例(16.7%)患者死亡。单因素分析显示,预后价值归因于血清肌酐水平升高(>2.1mg/dL;p=0.01)、蛋白尿(p=0.01)、诊断时(p=0.01)或随访期间任何时间需要透析的肾损害(p=0.01)、淋巴细胞水平低(p=0.01)、低白蛋白血症(p=0.04)、无呼吸道受累(p=0.01)、存在有空洞性病变的肺部受累(p=0.01)、高伯明翰血管活动评分(p=0.02)以及严重感染史(p=0.01)。多因素分析发现,随访期间任何时间需要透析的肾损害(相对危险度[95%置信区间]:21[4.1-18.3];p=0.01)是死亡的独立预测因素。免疫抑制药物对死亡率无影响,最常见的死亡原因是感染(50%)。

结论

需要透析的肾损害是GPA患者死亡的最重要危险因素。应对这些患者进行更密切、仔细的随访以提高生存率。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7eee/8612489/bcf4ff64cc57/AR-2021-36-3-435-444-F1.jpg

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