Warwick Evidence.
Evidence in Communicable Disease Epidemiology and Control, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
AIDS. 2022 Jan 1;36(1):1-9. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000003060.
The aim of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of screening strategies for predicting LTBI that progresses to active tuberculosis (TB) in people with HIV.
We developed a decision-analytical model that constituted a decision tree covering diagnosis of LTBI and a Markov model covering progression to active TB. The model represents the lifetime experience following testing for LTBI, and discounting costs, and benefits at 3.5% per annum in line with UK standards. We undertook probabilistic and one-way sensitivity analyses.
UK National Health Service and Personal Social Service perspective in a primary care setting.
Hypothetical cohort of adults recently diagnosed with HIV.
Interferon-gamma release assays and tuberculin skin test.
Cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY).
All strategies except T-SPOT.TB were cost-effective at identifying LTBI, with the QFT-GIT-negative followed by TST5mm strategy being the most costly and effective. Results indicated that there was little preference between strategies at a willingness-to-pay threshold of £20 000. At thresholds above £40 000 per QALY, there was a clear preference for the QFT-GIT-negative followed by TST5mm, with a probability of 0.41 of being cost-effective. Results showed that specificity for QFT-GIT and TST5mm were the main drivers of the economic model.
Screening for LTBI has important public health and clinical benefits. Most of the strategies are cost-effective. These results should be interpreted with caution because of the paucity of studies included in the meta-analysis of test accuracy studies. Additional high-quality primary studies are needed to have a definitive answer about, which strategy is the most effective.
本研究旨在评估预测 HIV 感染者中潜伏性结核感染(LTBI)进展为活动性结核病(TB)的筛查策略的成本效益。
我们开发了一种决策分析模型,该模型由 LTBI 诊断的决策树和进展为活动性 TB 的 Markov 模型组成。该模型代表了 LTBI 检测后的终生经历,并按照英国标准以每年 3.5%的贴现率折现成本和效益。我们进行了概率和单向敏感性分析。
英国国民保健制度和个人社会服务视角,在初级保健环境中。
最近被诊断出患有 HIV 的成年人的假设队列。
干扰素-γ释放试验和结核菌素皮肤试验。
每质量调整生命年(QALY)的成本。
除 T-SPOT.TB 外,所有策略在识别 LTBI 方面均具有成本效益,QFT-GIT 阴性后 TST5mm 策略的成本最高,但效果最佳。结果表明,在愿意支付 20000 英镑的阈值下,各策略之间几乎没有偏好。在每 QALY 超过 40000 英镑的阈值下,QFT-GIT 阴性后 TST5mm 策略具有明显的偏好,其具有成本效益的概率为 0.41。结果表明,QFT-GIT 和 TST5mm 的特异性是经济模型的主要驱动因素。
筛查 LTBI 具有重要的公共卫生和临床效益。大多数策略具有成本效益。由于纳入的试验准确性研究的荟萃分析研究数量有限,因此应谨慎解释这些结果。需要更多高质量的原始研究,才能对哪种策略最有效得出明确的答案。