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全球政策制定者与灾难性风险。

Global policymakers and catastrophic risk.

作者信息

Nathan Christopher, Hyams Keith

机构信息

Politics and International Studies, University of Warwick, England, UK.

出版信息

Policy Sci. 2022;55(1):3-21. doi: 10.1007/s11077-021-09444-0. Epub 2021 Dec 2.

Abstract

There is a rapidly developing literature on risks that threaten the whole of humanity, or a large part of it. Discussion is increasingly turning to how such risks can be governed. This paper arises from a study of those involved the governance of risks from emerging technologies, examining the perceptions of global catastrophic risk within the relevant global policymaking community. Those who took part were either civil servants working for the UK government, U.S. Congress, the United Nations, and the European Commission, or cognate members of civil society groups and the private sector. Analysis of interviews identified four major themes: Scepticism; Realism; Influence; and Governance outside of Government. These themes provide evidence for the value of conceptualising the governance of global catastrophic risk as a unified challenge. Furthermore, they highlight the range of agents involved in governance of emerging technology and give reason to value reforms carried out sub-nationally.

摘要

关于威胁全人类或大部分人类的风险,有大量迅速发展的文献。讨论越来越多地转向如何管理此类风险。本文源于一项对新兴技术风险治理相关人员的研究,考察了相关全球政策制定群体对全球灾难性风险的认知。参与研究的人员包括为英国政府、美国国会、联合国和欧盟委员会工作的公务员,或民间社会团体及私营部门的相关成员。对访谈的分析确定了四个主要主题:怀疑主义;现实主义;影响力;以及政府之外的治理。这些主题为将全球灾难性风险治理概念化为一个统一挑战的价值提供了证据。此外,它们凸显了参与新兴技术治理的行为主体范围,并为重视在国家以下层面进行的改革提供了理由。

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