Déry Stephen J, Hernández-Henríquez Marco A, Stadnyk Tricia A, Troy Tara J
Department of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Northern British Columbia, 3333 University Way, Prince George, BC, V2N 4Z9, Canada.
Department of Geography, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, T2N 1N4, Canada.
Nat Commun. 2021 Dec 9;12(1):7154. doi: 10.1038/s41467-021-27465-4.
Sub-daily and weekly flow cycles termed 'hydropeaking' are common features in regulated rivers worldwide. Weekly flow periodicity arises from fluctuating electricity demand and production tied to socioeconomic activity, typically with higher consumption during weekdays followed by reductions on weekends. Here, we propose a weekly hydropeaking index to quantify the 1920-2019 intensity and prevalence of weekly hydropeaking cycles at 500 sites across the United States of America and Canada. A robust weekly hydropeaking signal exists at 1.8% of sites starting in 1920, peaking at 18.9% in 1963, and diminishing to 3.1% in 2019, marking a 21st century decline in weekly hydropeaking intensity. We propose this decline may be tied to recent, above-average precipitation, socioeconomic shifts, alternative energy production, and legislative and policy changes impacting water management in regulated systems. Vanishing weekly hydropeaking cycles may offset some of the prior deleterious ecohydrological impacts from hydropeaking in highly regulated rivers.
被称为“水电峰荷”的日次和周流量周期是全球范围内受调控河流的常见特征。周流量周期性源于与社会经济活动相关的电力需求和生产波动,通常工作日的用电量较高,随后在周末减少。在此,我们提出一个周水电峰荷指数,以量化1920年至2019年期间美国和加拿大500个站点的周水电峰荷周期强度和普遍性。从1920年开始,1.8%的站点存在强劲的周水电峰荷信号,1963年达到峰值18.9%,到2019年降至3.1%,这标志着21世纪周水电峰荷强度的下降。我们认为这种下降可能与近期高于平均水平的降水量、社会经济转变、替代能源生产以及影响受调控系统水资源管理的立法和政策变化有关。逐渐消失的周水电峰荷周期可能会抵消此前高度调控河流中水电峰荷产生的一些有害生态水文影响。