Annu Int Conf IEEE Eng Med Biol Soc. 2021 Nov;2021:2132-2135. doi: 10.1109/EMBC46164.2021.9630184.
One of the key challenges when developing a predictive model is the capability to describe the domain knowledge and the cause-effect relationships in a simple way. Decision rules are a useful and important methodology in this context, justifying their application in several areas, particularly in clinical practice. Several machine-learning classifiers have exploited the advantageous properties of decision rules to build intelligent prediction models, namely decision trees and ensembles of trees (ETs). However, such methodologies usually suffer from a trade-off between interpretability and predictive performance. Some procedures consider a simplification of ETs, using heuristic approaches to select an optimal reduced set of decision rules. In this paper, we introduce a novel step to those methodologies. We create a new component to predict if a given rule will be correct or not for a particular patient, which introduces personalization into the procedure. Furthermore, the validation results using three public clinical datasets suggest that it also allows to increase the predictive performance of the selected set of rules, improving the mentioned trade-off.
开发预测模型的一个关键挑战是能够以简单的方式描述领域知识和因果关系。决策规则在这种情况下是一种有用且重要的方法,因此在多个领域,特别是在临床实践中得到了应用。几种机器学习分类器利用决策规则的有利特性来构建智能预测模型,即决策树和树的集成(ETs)。然而,这种方法通常在可解释性和预测性能之间存在权衡。一些程序考虑简化 ETs,使用启发式方法选择决策规则的最优简化集。在本文中,我们为这些方法引入了一个新的步骤。我们创建了一个新组件来预测对于特定患者,给定规则是否正确,从而为该过程引入了个性化。此外,使用三个公共临床数据集的验证结果表明,它还可以提高所选规则集的预测性能,从而改善上述权衡。