Anderson D Mark, Sabia Joseph J, Tekin Erdal
Montana State University, IZA, and NBER.
Director of the Center for Health Economics and Policy Studies, San Diego State University, and IZA.
J Urban Econ. 2021 Nov;126. doi: 10.1016/j.jue.2021.103387. Epub 2021 Aug 29.
Debate over safe-storage gun regulations has captured public attention in the aftermath of several high-profile shootings committed by minors. To date, the existing literature provides no evidence that these laws are effective at deterring gun crime, a conclusion that has prompted the National Rifle Association to assert that such regulations are "unnecessary" and "ineffective." Using data from the FBI's for the period 1985-2013, we find that child access prevention (CAP) laws are associated with a 17 percent reduction in firearm-related homicides committed by juveniles. The estimated effect is stronger among whites than nonwhites and is driven by states enforcing the strictest safe-storage standard. We find no evidence that CAP laws are associated with firearm-related homicides committed by adults or with non-firearm-related homicides committed by juveniles, suggesting that the observed relationship between CAP laws and juvenile firearm-related homicides is causal.
在几起引人注目的未成年人枪击事件之后，关于枪支安全储存法规的辩论引起了公众的关注。迄今为止，现有文献没有提供证据表明这些法律在威慑枪支犯罪方面有效，这一结论促使全国步枪协会声称此类法规“不必要”且“无效”。利用联邦调查局1985年至2013年期间的数据，我们发现儿童防接触（CAP）法律与青少年枪支相关杀人案减少17%有关。估计的效果在白人中比非白人中更强，并且是由实施最严格安全储存标准的州推动的。我们没有发现证据表明CAP法律与成年人实施的枪支相关杀人案或青少年实施的非枪支相关杀人案有关，这表明观察到的CAP法律与青少年枪支相关杀人案之间的关系是因果关系。
