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医院获得性菌血症的发病率和死亡率:应用多状态模型方法的基于人群的队列研究。

Incidence and mortality of hospital-acquired bacteraemia: a population-based cohort study applying a multi-state model approach.

机构信息

Department of Clinical Microbiology, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark; Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.

Department of Cardiology, Aalborg University Hospital, Aalborg, Denmark; Aalborg Thrombosis Research Unit, Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health, Aalborg University, Aalborg, Denmark.

出版信息

Clin Microbiol Infect. 2022 Jun;28(6):879.e9-879.e15. doi: 10.1016/j.cmi.2021.12.011. Epub 2021 Dec 18.

DOI:10.1016/j.cmi.2021.12.011
PMID:34929409
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The effect of hospital-acquired bacteraemia on mortality is sparsely investigated. We investigated the incidence and hospital-acquired bacteraemia impact on mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a 13-year population-based cohort study using the North Denmark Bacteraemia Research Database and Danish health registries. The population comprised all adult patients with a hospital admission lasting ≥48 hr. We used Poisson regression to estimate trends in incidence. The 30-day mortality of hospital-acquired bacteraemia was estimated using an illness-death multistate model with recovery using the population at risk of hospital-acquired bacteraemia as reference.

RESULTS

We identified 3588 episodes of hospital-acquired bacteraemia in 484 264 admissions. The incidence increased proportionally by 1.02 episodes yearly (95% CI 1.01-1.03) between 2006 and 2018. Hospital-acquired bacteraemia was associated with increased mortality (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 4.32, 95% CI 3.95-4.72), especially hospital-acquired bacteraemia with unknown source (aHR 6.42 (95% CI 5.67-7.26), "thoracic incl. pneumonia" (aHR 5.89, 95% CI 3.45-10.12) and abdominal source (aHR 4.33, 95% CI 3.27-5.74). The relative impact on mortality diminished with age (aHR 5.66, 95% CI 2.00-16.01 in 18-40 years old vs. 3.69, 95% CI 3.14-4.32 in 81-105 years old) and comorbidity (aHR 5.75, 95% CI 4.45-7.42 in low vs. 3.55, 95% CI 3.16-3.98 in high comorbidity), and was higher in elective admissions (aHR 9.09, 95% CI 7.14-11.57 vs. aHR of 4.03, 95% CI 3.67-4.42).

DISCUSSION

Hospital-acquired bacteraemia is associated with high mortality, especially when the source is unknown or originating from the thoracic cavity.

摘要

目的

医院获得性菌血症对死亡率的影响研究较少。本研究旨在调查发病率和医院获得性菌血症对死亡率的影响。

方法

我们进行了一项基于人群的 13 年队列研究,使用了丹麦北日德兰菌血症研究数据库和丹麦健康登记处。该人群包括所有住院时间≥48 小时的成年患者。我们使用泊松回归估计发病率趋势。使用疾病-死亡多状态模型估计医院获得性菌血症的 30 天死亡率,以具有医院获得性菌血症风险的人群为参考,恢复使用。

结果

我们在 484264 例住院患者中发现了 3588 例医院获得性菌血症发作。2006 年至 2018 年,发病率每年按比例增加 1.02 例(95%置信区间 1.01-1.03)。医院获得性菌血症与死亡率增加相关(校正后的危险比(aHR)4.32,95%置信区间 3.95-4.72),尤其是不明来源的医院获得性菌血症(aHR 6.42(95%置信区间 5.67-7.26),“胸部包括肺炎”(aHR 5.89,95%置信区间 3.45-10.12)和腹部来源(aHR 4.33,95%置信区间 3.27-5.74)。随着年龄的增长(18-40 岁年龄组的 aHR 为 5.66(95%置信区间 2.00-16.01),81-105 岁年龄组的 aHR 为 3.69(95%置信区间 3.14-4.32))和合并症(低合并症的 aHR 为 5.75(95%置信区间 4.45-7.42),高合并症的 aHR 为 3.55(95%置信区间 3.16-3.98)),死亡率的相对影响降低,选择性入院的影响更高(aHR 9.09,95%置信区间 7.14-11.57 vs. aHR 4.03,95%置信区间 3.67-4.42)。

讨论

医院获得性菌血症与高死亡率相关,尤其是当来源不明或源自胸腔时。

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