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多水平分析与埃塞俄比亚育龄妇女(15-49 岁)中 HIV 相关的因素:贝叶斯方法。

Multilevel analysis of factors associated with HIV among women of reproductive age (15-49 years old) in Ethiopia: Bayesian approach.

机构信息

Department of Public Health, College of Health Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Ethiopia.

Biomedical Department, College of Health Science, Mizan-Tepi University, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Womens Health (Lond). 2021 Jan-Dec;17:17455065211067638. doi: 10.1177/17455065211067638.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Human immunodeficiency virus remains the leading cause of morbidity and mortality throughout the world. Sub-Saharan Africa regions are the most affected regions and accounted for 67% of HIV infections worldwide, and 72% of the world's AIDS-related deaths.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the prevalence of HIV and identify factors associated with it among women of reproductive age in Ethiopia.

METHODS

This study was conducted based on the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic and Health Surveys data. The data were weighted using sampling weight for probability sampling and non-response to restore the representativeness of the data and get valid statistical estimates. Then, a total of 14,161 weighted sample women were used to investigate the study. Finally, a multilevel analysis was done based on the Bayesian approach to identify factors associated with HIV among women of reproductive age in Ethiopia.

RESULTS

This study showed the prevalence of HIV among reproductive age group women was 0.85%. Being rural resident (adjusted odds ratio = 0.20; 95% CrI = 0.1-0.4), secondary education level (adjusted odds ratio = 0.20; 95% CrI = 0.1-0.4), rich wealth status (adjusted odds ratio = 4; 95% CrI = 3-6), married women but living separately (adjusted odds ratio = 2.3; 95% CrI = 1.2-4.5), long distance from the health facility (adjusted odds ratio = 0.4; 95% CrI = 0.3-0.5), and exposure to media (adjusted odds ratio = 2.9; 95% CrI = 1.8-4.7) were significantly associated with HIV.

CONCLUSION

Being rural residents, women whose marital status is separated, wealthy, travel a long distance to get health facility, and are exposed to media are risky to be infected by HIV. Whereas being a rural resident and educated are preventive factors for HIV. Therefore, the government of Ethiopia and the ministry of health should consider those factors when they design HIV prevention and control strategies.

摘要

背景

艾滋病毒仍然是全球发病率和死亡率的主要原因。撒哈拉以南非洲地区是受影响最严重的地区,占全球艾滋病毒感染的 67%,占世界艾滋病相关死亡人数的 72%。

目的

估计艾滋病毒在埃塞俄比亚育龄妇女中的流行率,并确定与艾滋病毒相关的因素。

方法

本研究基于 2016 年埃塞俄比亚人口与健康调查数据。使用抽样权重对数据进行加权,以进行概率抽样和非响应恢复,从而恢复数据的代表性并获得有效的统计估计。然后,使用总共 14161 个加权样本妇女来调查研究。最后,基于贝叶斯方法进行多水平分析,以确定与埃塞俄比亚育龄妇女艾滋病毒相关的因素。

结果

本研究显示,生殖年龄组妇女中艾滋病毒的流行率为 0.85%。农村居民(调整后的优势比=0.20;95%可信区间=0.1-0.4)、中等教育程度(调整后的优势比=0.20;95%可信区间=0.1-0.4)、富裕的财富状况(调整后的优势比=4;95%可信区间=3-6)、已婚但分居的妇女(调整后的优势比=2.3;95%可信区间=1.2-4.5)、距离卫生机构较远(调整后的优势比=0.4;95%可信区间=0.3-0.5)和接触媒体(调整后的优势比=2.9;95%可信区间=1.8-4.7)与艾滋病毒显著相关。

结论

农村居民、分居的已婚妇女、富裕、长途跋涉前往医疗机构以及接触媒体的妇女感染艾滋病毒的风险较高。而农村居民和受教育程度是艾滋病毒的预防因素。因此,埃塞俄比亚政府和卫生部在制定艾滋病毒预防和控制策略时应考虑这些因素。

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