School of the Environment, Trent University, Peterborough, Ontario, Canada.
Integrated Environmental Assessment Branch, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
Glob Chang Biol. 2022 Apr;28(7):2381-2395. doi: 10.1111/gcb.16076. Epub 2022 Jan 17.
Nitrogen (N) emissions and atmospheric deposition have increased significantly during the last century and become a stressor for many N-sensitive plant species. Understanding individual and community herbaceous plant species thresholds to atmospheric N deposition can inform emissions reduction policy. Here, we present results using Threshold Indicator Taxa Analysis (TITAN) applied to more than 1200 unique plant species and 24 vegetation communities (i.e., alliances) across the United States (US) to assess vulnerability to N deposition. Alliance-level thresholds (change points) for species decreasing in abundance along the gradient ranged from 1.8 to 14.3 kg N ha year and tended to be lower in the west than the east, which suggests that eastern communities, where N deposition has been historically higher, may have already lost many sensitive species. For the species that were present in more than one alliance, over half had a variable response to the N deposition gradient, suggesting that local factors affect vulnerability. Significant progress has been made during the past 30 years to reduce N emissions, which has reduced the percentage of plots at risk to N deposition from 72% to 35%. Nevertheless, over a third of plots remain at risk, and an average reduction of N deposition of 20% would protect half of the plots where N deposition exceeds community thresholds. Furthermore, the alliance- and species-level change points determined in this study may be used to inform N critical loads.
在过去的一个世纪中,氮(N)排放和大气沉积显著增加,成为许多对 N 敏感的植物物种的压力因素。了解单个和群落草本植物物种对大气 N 沉积的阈值,可以为减排政策提供信息。在这里,我们使用 Threshold Indicator Taxa Analysis(TITAN)展示了结果,该分析应用于美国超过 1200 种独特植物物种和 24 个植被群落(即联盟),以评估对 N 沉积的脆弱性。物种丰富度沿梯度减少的联盟水平阈值(转折点)范围为 1.8 至 14.3 kg N ha 年,并且西部的阈值往往低于东部,这表明东部社区(N 沉积历史上较高)可能已经失去了许多敏感物种。对于存在于多个联盟中的物种,超过一半的物种对 N 沉积梯度有可变的响应,这表明当地因素会影响脆弱性。在过去 30 年中,已经取得了重大进展来减少 N 排放,这将面临 N 沉积风险的斑块比例从 72%降低到 35%。然而,仍有超过三分之一的斑块处于风险之中,N 沉积减少 20%将保护超过一半的 N 沉积超过群落阈值的斑块。此外,本研究确定的联盟和物种水平转折点可用于告知 N 临界负荷。