Department of Orthodontics Panineeya Mahavidyalaya Institute of Dental Sciences Hyderabad, Telangana.
Fairleigh Dickinson University USA.
J Forensic Odontostomatol. 2021 Dec 30;39(3):2-15.
The aim of this study was to compare the accuracy, specificity and sensitivity of four commonly used methods of dental age estimation in a sample of south Indian adolescents and young adults aged between 14 and 30 years, with an age threshold of 18 years, using receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) and the area under the curve (AUC). A total of 1070 orthopantomograms (535 males and 535 females) of adolescents and young adults of south Indian origin were collected retrospectively and interpreted. The effectiveness of each method was evaluated by using sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), likelihood ratios (LR+ and LR-) and AUC. Among all methods, I3M< 0.08 resulted in better values of AUC, Se and Sp which were 0.950, 91.5%, 97.8% and 0.950, 88.5% and 98.6% in males and females, respectively. For "stage H" of Demirjian's system, the AUC, Se and Sp were 0.940, 84.9%, 97.7% and 0.930, 79.9% and 98.5% in males and females, respectively. The use of the Olze et al "stage 1 (or higher)" root pulp visibility and "stage D" of third molar eruption were not recommended in the studied population due to the greater percentage of third molars with incomplete mineralization in younger age groups and impaction. Taking into account the values of Se, Sp, both positive and negative LRs, we recommend the use of the cut-off value of I3M< 0.08 to discriminate adults and minors in south Indian adolescents and young adults.
本研究旨在通过接收者操作特征曲线(ROC)和曲线下面积(AUC)比较四种常用于南印度青少年和年轻成年人(年龄 18 岁)的牙龄评估方法的准确性、特异性和敏感性。共回顾性收集了 1070 名南印度青少年和年轻成年人的全景片(535 名男性和 535 名女性)并进行了解释。通过使用敏感性(Se)、特异性(Sp)、似然比(LR+ 和 LR-)和 AUC 评估每种方法的有效性。在所有方法中,I3M<0.08 导致 AUC、Se 和 Sp 的值更好,分别为男性和女性中的 0.950、91.5%、97.8%和 0.950、88.5%和 98.6%。对于 Demirjian 系统的“阶段 H”,AUC、Se 和 Sp 分别为男性和女性中的 0.940、84.9%、97.7%和 0.930、79.9%和 98.5%。由于在年轻年龄组中第三磨牙矿化不完全和阻生的比例较高,因此不建议在研究人群中使用 Olze 等人的“阶段 1(或更高)”根牙髓可见度和第三磨牙萌出的“阶段 D”。考虑到 Se、Sp、阳性和阴性似然比的值,我们建议使用 I3M<0.08 的截止值来区分南印度青少年和年轻成年人中的成年人和未成年人。