Suchato Ravissa, Patoomnakul Atchara, Photchanaprasert Nuttapon
Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Faculty of Economics, Kasetsart University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Heliyon. 2021 Dec 18;7(12):e08629. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e08629. eCollection 2021 Dec.
This research analyzed farmers' acceptance to switch from rice to sugarcane farming and their support preferences in this regard using choice models. The results showed that farm size, crop conversion experience, sugarcane price, household asset and sugarcane price guarantee significantly influenced the farmers' land-use decisions in this regard. Farmers' concerns over cash flow and ability to access the sugarcane market critically decreased their likelihood to switch to sugarcane production. They were also less inclined to grow sugarcane when climatic conditions and soil fertility were favorable. Loan burden and unclear support policies were also a major hindrance. However, attractive sugarcane price along with price guarantee policy had a positive influence on the farmers' willingness to cultivate sugarcane. Farmers mostly prioritized sugarcane price guarantees in the first year, followed by low-interest credit support for production costs and harvesting and logistic services. This shows that effective policy solutions to encourage farmers to switch from rice to sugarcane production should incorporate capacity building, improve credit access, and implement price controls, particularly in the early stages of the transition.
本研究运用选择模型分析了农民从水稻种植转向甘蔗种植的接受程度以及他们在这方面的支持偏好。结果表明，农场规模、作物转换经验、甘蔗价格、家庭资产和甘蔗价格保障对农民在这方面的土地利用决策有显著影响。农民对现金流的担忧以及进入甘蔗市场的能力严重降低了他们转向甘蔗生产的可能性。当气候条件和土壤肥力适宜时，他们也不太倾向于种植甘蔗。贷款负担和不明确的支持政策也是一个主要障碍。然而，有吸引力的甘蔗价格以及价格保障政策对农民种植甘蔗的意愿有积极影响。农民大多优先考虑第一年的甘蔗价格保障，其次是用于生产成本以及收获和物流服务的低息信贷支持。这表明，鼓励农民从水稻种植转向甘蔗生产的有效政策解决方案应包括能力建设、改善信贷获取并实施价格控制，特别是在转型的早期阶段。
