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基于 B 型利钠肽预测子痫前期的不良母婴结局:一项回顾性研究。

Prediction of adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes in preeclampsia based on B-type natriuretic peptide: a retrospective study.

机构信息

Department of Obstetrics, The Second Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China; Department of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China.

Department of Obstetrics, The Second Hospital, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong University, Jinan, China.

出版信息

Ann Palliat Med. 2021 Dec;10(12):12190-12207. doi: 10.21037/apm-21-2981.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is closely related to preeclampsia. Whether it is a predictor of adverse outcomes in preeclampsia is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between BNP and adverse outcomes of preeclampsia, and to establish the prediction models and nomograms based on BNP.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted involving 284 women with preeclampsia admitted to a tertiary hospital from January 2017 to July 2019. Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used to analyze the relationship between BNP and adverse outcomes. Multivariate logistic regression was used to establish the models for predicting adverse outcomes. Then the nomogram and ROC curve of the models were generated.

RESULTS

In preeclampsia, BNP is a risk factor for adverse outcomes, and as the level of BNP increases, the incidence of adverse outcomes increases. Preeclampsia with BNP >118 pg/mL was associated with a significantly increased risk of adverse outcomes. The results showed that BNP has a predictive value for adverse maternal outcomes, and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.739 [P<0.001, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.684-0.789]. Then, the prediction models for adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes based on BNP combined with other multi-factors were established. The discriminative ability of the 2 models was found to be good, the AUC was 0.844 (95% CI: 0.796-0.884) and 0.792 (95% CI: 0.740-0.838), respectively. Therefore, BNP was shown to significantly improve the discriminative ability of the prediction models.

CONCLUSIONS

The BNP is an important risk factor for evaluating the adverse outcomes of preeclampsia. Combined with multi-factors, BNP can be used to predict the adverse outcomes.

摘要

背景

升高的 B 型利钠肽(BNP)与子痫前期密切相关。它是否是子痫前期不良结局的预测因子尚不清楚。本研究旨在探讨 BNP 与子痫前期不良结局的关系,并建立基于 BNP 的预测模型和列线图。

方法

回顾性分析 2017 年 1 月至 2019 年 7 月在一家三级医院就诊的 284 例子痫前期患者。采用 logistic 回归和受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析 BNP 与不良结局的关系。采用多变量 logistic 回归建立预测不良结局的模型。然后生成模型的列线图和 ROC 曲线。

结果

在子痫前期中,BNP 是不良结局的危险因素,随着 BNP 水平的升高,不良结局的发生率增加。BNP>118pg/ml 的子痫前期与不良结局的风险显著增加相关。结果表明,BNP 对子痫前期不良母婴结局有预测价值,ROC 曲线下面积(AUC)为 0.739[P<0.001,95%置信区间(CI):0.684-0.789]。然后,建立了基于 BNP 联合其他多因素的不良母婴和围生期结局预测模型。发现这 2 个模型的判别能力都较好,AUC 分别为 0.844(95%CI:0.796-0.884)和 0.792(95%CI:0.740-0.838)。因此,BNP 显著提高了预测模型的判别能力。

结论

BNP 是评估子痫前期不良结局的重要危险因素。与多因素联合使用时,BNP 可用于预测不良结局。

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