Lung transplantation for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A call to modify the lung allocation score to decrease waitlist mortality.

OBJECTIVE

Approximately 40% of lung transplants for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the lung allocation score era are single lung transplantations (SLTs). We hypothesized that double lung transplantation (DLT) results in superior survival, but that mortality on the waitlist may compel clinicians to perform SLT. We investigated both waitlist mortality in COPD patients with restricted versus unrestricted listing preferences and posttransplant survival in SLT versus DLT to identify key predictors of mortality.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of waitlist mortality and posttransplant survival in patients with COPD was conducted using post-lung allocation score data from the United Network for Organ Sharing database between 2005 and 2018.

RESULTS

Of 6740 patients with COPD on the waitlist, 328 (4.87%) died and 320 (4.75%) were removed due to clinical deterioration. Median survival on the waitlist was significantly worse in patients listed as restricted for DLT (4.39 vs 6.09 years; P = .002) compared with patients listed as unrestricted (hazard ratio, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.13-1.57). Factors that increase waitlist mortality include female sex, increased pulmonary artery pressure, and increased wait time. Median posttransplant survival was 5.3 years in SLT versus 6.5 years in DLT (P < .001). DLT recipients are younger, male patients with a higher lung allocation score. The survival advantage of DLT persisted in adjusted analysis (hazard ratio, 0.819; 95% CI, 0.741-0.905).

CONCLUSIONS

Restricted listing preference is associated with increased waitlist mortality, but DLT recipients have superior posttransplant survival. Because the lung allocation score does not prioritize COPD, concern for increased waitlist mortality with restricted listing preference may drive continued use of SLT despite better posttransplant survival in DLT.