Campino José, Brochado Ana, Rosa Álvaro
Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), Business Research Unit (BRU-IUL), Lisbon, Portugal.
Instituto Universitário de Lisboa (ISCTE-IUL), DINÂMIA'CET, Lisbon, Portugal.
Financ Innov. 2022;8(1):17. doi: 10.1186/s40854-021-00317-2. Epub 2022 Jan 17.
Recent literature has addressed initial coin offering (ICO) projects, which are an innovative form of venture financing through cryptocurrencies using blockchain technology. Many features of ICOs remain unexplored, leaving much room for additional research, including the success factors of ICO projects. We investigate the success of ICO projects, with our main purpose being to identify factors that influence a project's outcome. Following a literature review, from which several potential variables were collected, we used a database comprising 428 ICO projects in the banking/financial sector to regress several econometric models. We confirmed the impacts of several variables and obtained particularly valuable results concerning project and campaign variables. We confirmed the importance of a well-structured and informative whitepaper. The proximity to certain markets with high availability of financial and human capital is also an important determinant of the success of an ICO. We also confirm the strong dependency on cryptocurrency and the impact of cryptocurrency valuations on the success of a project. Furthermore, we confirm the importance of social media in ICO projects, as well as the importance of human capital characteristics. Our research contributes to the ICO literature by capturing most of the success factors previously identified and testing their impacts based on a large database. The current research contributes to the building of systems theory and signaling theory by adapting their frameworks to the ICO environment. Our results are also important for regulators, as ICOs are mainly unregulated and have vast future potential, and for investors, who can benefit from our analysis and use it in their due diligence.
近期文献探讨了首次代币发行(ICO)项目,这是一种通过使用区块链技术的加密货币进行风险融资的创新形式。ICO的许多特征仍未得到探索,为进一步研究留下了很大空间,包括ICO项目的成功因素。我们研究ICO项目的成功情况,主要目的是确定影响项目结果的因素。在进行文献综述并收集了几个潜在变量之后,我们使用了一个包含银行/金融领域428个ICO项目的数据库对几个计量经济模型进行回归分析。我们证实了几个变量的影响,并获得了有关项目和活动变量的特别有价值的结果。我们证实了结构良好且内容丰富的白皮书的重要性。接近金融和人力资本高度可得的特定市场也是ICO成功的一个重要决定因素。我们还证实了对加密货币的强烈依赖以及加密货币估值对项目成功的影响。此外,我们证实了社交媒体在ICO项目中的重要性以及人力资本特征的重要性。我们的研究通过捕捉先前确定的大多数成功因素并基于大型数据库测试它们的影响,为ICO文献做出了贡献。当前的研究通过将系统理论和信号理论的框架应用于ICO环境,为这两种理论的构建做出了贡献。我们的结果对监管机构也很重要,因为ICO主要不受监管且具有巨大的未来潜力,对投资者也很重要,他们可以从我们的分析中受益并将其用于尽职调查。