Warsof S L, Cooper D J, Little D, Campbell S
Obstet Gynecol. 1986 Jan;67(1):33-9.
This prospective screening program of a large obstetric population was designed to determine the effectiveness of ultrasonic biometry to diagnose intrauterine growth retardation. The results of 3616 pregnancies were analyzed. All pregnancies were dated before the 24th week by ultrasonic measurements. The study compared the effectiveness of three ultrasonic growth parameters: biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference, and abdominal circumference, to detect intrauterine growth retardation and to determine the optimal gestational age to perform the scan for this purpose. To maintain a high sensitivity required in a screening program, all ultrasonic measurements below the 25th percentile for gestational age were considered abnormal. The predictive value of a positive test in this situation ranged from 0.25 to 0.55, depending on the week of gestation in which the scan was performed. Accuracy of predictions improved greatly when the scans were performed within two weeks of delivery. Abdominal circumference measurements were more predictive of intrauterine growth retardation than either head circumference or BPD measurements or the combination of these parameters. In view of the sensitivity of the test and the prevalence of the disorder, it is concluded that 34 +/- 1 weeks of gestation is the optimal time to screen patients ultrasonically for intrauterine growth retardation.
这项针对大量产科人群的前瞻性筛查计划旨在确定超声生物测量法诊断胎儿宫内生长受限的有效性。对3616例妊娠结果进行了分析。所有妊娠均在孕24周前通过超声测量确定孕周。该研究比较了三个超声生长参数(双顶径(BPD)、头围和腹围)检测胎儿宫内生长受限以及确定进行此项扫描的最佳孕周的有效性。为了维持筛查计划所需的高敏感性,所有低于相应孕周第25百分位数的超声测量结果均被视为异常。在这种情况下,阳性检测的预测值在0.25至0.55之间,具体取决于进行扫描时的孕周。在分娩前两周内进行扫描时,预测的准确性有了很大提高。腹围测量比头围或双顶径测量或这些参数的组合更能预测胎儿宫内生长受限。鉴于该检测的敏感性和该疾病的患病率,得出结论:孕34±1周是对患者进行超声筛查胎儿宫内生长受限的最佳时间。