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撒哈拉以南非洲的可持续发展与可持续发展目标7:平衡能源获取、经济增长和碳排放

Sustainable Development and SDG-7 in Sub-Saharan Africa: Balancing Energy Access, Economic Growth, and Carbon Emissions.

作者信息

Li Dmitriy, Bae Jeong Hwan, Rishi Meenakshi

机构信息

Department of Economics, Chonnam National University, Gwangju, South Korea.

Department of Economics, Seattle University, Seattle, USA.

出版信息

Eur J Dev Res. 2023;35(1):112-137. doi: 10.1057/s41287-021-00502-0. Epub 2022 Jan 28.

Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic has shocked the global energy system. It has resulted in tremendous uncertainty and diminished the recent advances to increase access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy-an objective preserved in the UN Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG-7). According to the IEA, attaining universal electricity access in Africa in line with SDG-7 entails annual investments of approximately $20 billion over the next decade. Given the sizeable magnitudes involved, it is inevitable that energy projects will need to rely on richer nations for energy aid. This paper explores the linkages between energy-related external aid, carbon emissions, per capita GDP, and electricity access for a sample of 30 low-income SSA countries over 1995 to 2016. Our econometric analysis reveals that while all types of energy aid facilitate economic growth in the long run, there is no direct impact of energy-related aid on electricity access. However, an increase in per capita GDP is positively associated with electricity access in both rural and urban areas. We also find that energy-related aid helps mitigate carbon emissions as well as contribute to GDP. Taken together, our results suggest that enhanced energy-related aid to low-income SSA countries can directly facilitate climate compatible growth and indirectly impel improvements in electricity access thereby helping with poverty reduction. We also advocate regional cooperation among SSA countries as a collective effort to confront shared energy challenges.

摘要

新冠疫情冲击了全球能源体系。它带来了巨大的不确定性,并削弱了近期在增加可负担、可靠、可持续和现代能源获取方面取得的进展,而这一目标是联合国可持续发展目标7(SDG-7)所秉持的。根据国际能源署的数据,要按照SDG-7在非洲实现普遍电力接入,未来十年每年需要约200亿美元的投资。鉴于所涉规模巨大,能源项目不可避免地需要依赖富裕国家提供能源援助。本文探讨了1995年至2016年期间30个低收入撒哈拉以南非洲国家样本的能源相关外援、碳排放、人均国内生产总值和电力接入之间的联系。我们的计量分析表明,虽然从长远来看,所有类型的能源援助都有助于经济增长,但能源相关援助对电力接入没有直接影响。然而,人均国内生产总值的增长与农村和城市地区的电力接入呈正相关。我们还发现,能源相关援助有助于减少碳排放并促进国内生产总值增长。综合来看,我们的结果表明,增加对低收入撒哈拉以南非洲国家的能源相关援助可以直接促进气候兼容型增长,并间接推动电力接入的改善,从而有助于减贫。我们还倡导撒哈拉以南非洲国家之间开展区域合作,作为应对共同能源挑战的集体努力。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/85b8/8795938/96e7999a0121/41287_2021_502_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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