Anser Muhammad Khalid, Khan Muhammad Azhar, Nassani Abdelmohsen A, Askar Sameh E, Abro Muhammad Moinuddin Qazi, Zaman Khalid, Kabbani Ahmad
School of Public Administration, Xi'an University of Architecture and Technology, Xi'an, 710000, China.
Department of Economics, University of Haripur, Haripur, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2021 Dec;28(45):63769-63783. doi: 10.1007/s11356-020-10954-2. Epub 2020 Nov 12.
The United Nations sustainable development goals (SDGs) proposed 17 effective plans linked with three principal aims, i.e., eradicating poverty, conserving the natural environment, and ensuring prosperity for all. Travel and tourism are the leading stream sector through which all the three stated United Nations themes could be achieved efficiently. The future project of Saudi Arabia's vision is also in line with the United Nation SDGs that much emphasized on tourism expansion, innovation, and sustainable development, which directly supports the SDG-8 (i.e., decent work and economic growth), SDG-9 (i.e., industries, innovation, and infrastructure), SDG-12 (i.e., responsible consumption and production), and SDG-13 (i.e., climate change). The study's objective is to evaluate the country's e-tourism initiatives and green development agenda in the long-run by using the quarterly data from 1995Q1 to 2018Q4. The study employed the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model for estimating the short- and long-run relationship between the variables. Further, the study developed an "e-tourism index" that combines ICT's share in tourism income and expenditures items by principle component matrix (PCM). The results show that oil rents, ores and metal exports, and railways goods transportation depleted natural resources, while ICT's share in energy demand, inbound tourism, and trade openness conserve natural resources via the adoption of advanced technologies, eco-tourism knowledge, and green technology imports in a country. The results confirmed the U-shaped relationship between the country's per capita income and natural resource depletion in a given period. The positive relationship (negative impact) of air transportation freight and trade openness with carbon emissions is evident in the short-run; however, the result is insignificantly determined in the long-run. The industry value-added and ICT's share in energy demand substantially delimit carbon emissions through cleaner production techniques and green innovation. The U-shaped relationship in the short- and flat relationship in the long-run is found for carbon-growth nexus. In the long-run, inbound tourism has a positive (negative impact) relationship with carbon emissions that need sustainable tourism policies to delimit carbon emissions. The air-railways passengers carried and trade openness is the main antecedents that influenced fossil fuel energy consumption in the short- and long-run, while in the long-run, tourism income, ICT's share in energy demand, and industry value-added delimit fossil fuel combustion. The study confirmed the inverted U-shaped relationship between carbon emissions and per capita income in a country. The e-tourism index positively influences the country's economic growth, mobile share in the energy demand, industry value-added, and railways goods transportation. In the long-run, the mobile share in energy demand and railways goods transported increase while air transport freight decreases economic growth. Finally, the e-tourism index is positively influenced by industrial value-added and ICT's share in fossil fuel energy demand. Simultaneously, air transportation passengers carried and ICT's share in carbon emissions negatively affected the e-tourism index in a country. The study concludes that Saudi Arabia's vision 2030 of e-tourism and green sustainable development could be achieved by promoting green ICTs, cleaner production technologies, sustainable consumption and production, tight environmental regulations, and green travel and tourism infrastructure, which ultimately will support the Saudi's vision realization programs towards the country's prosperity.
联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)提出了17项与三个主要目标相关的有效计划,即消除贫困、保护自然环境以及确保所有人的繁荣。旅游是实现联合国上述所有三个主题的主要行业领域。沙特阿拉伯愿景的未来项目也与联合国可持续发展目标一致,该目标非常强调旅游业的扩张、创新和可持续发展,这直接支持了可持续发展目标8(即体面工作和经济增长)、可持续发展目标9(即产业、创新和基础设施)、可持续发展目标12(即负责任的消费和生产)以及可持续发展目标13(即气候变化)。该研究的目的是通过使用1995年第一季度至2018年第四季度的季度数据,从长期评估该国的电子旅游举措和绿色发展议程。该研究采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型来估计变量之间的短期和长期关系。此外,该研究通过主成分矩阵(PCM)开发了一个“电子旅游指数”,该指数将信息通信技术在旅游收入和支出项目中的份额结合起来。结果表明,石油租金、矿石和金属出口以及铁路货物运输消耗了自然资源,而信息通信技术在能源需求、入境旅游和贸易开放度方面的份额通过在一个国家采用先进技术、生态旅游知识和绿色技术进口来保护自然资源。结果证实了该国在特定时期人均收入与自然资源消耗之间的U形关系。航空运输货运和贸易开放度与碳排放的正相关关系(负面影响)在短期内很明显;然而,从长期来看,这一结果的确定性并不显著。产业增加值和信息通信技术在能源需求中的份额通过更清洁的生产技术和绿色创新大幅减少了碳排放。在碳排放与增长的关系中,短期内发现了U形关系,长期内发现了平坦关系。从长期来看,入境旅游与碳排放呈正(负)相关关系,需要可持续旅游政策来减少碳排放。航空铁路客运量和贸易开放度是在短期和长期内影响化石燃料能源消耗的主要因素,而从长期来看,旅游收入、信息通信技术在能源需求中的份额和产业增加值限制了化石燃料燃烧。该研究证实了一个国家碳排放与人均收入之间的倒U形关系。电子旅游指数对该国的经济增长、能源需求中的移动份额、产业增加值和铁路货物运输有积极影响。从长期来看,能源需求中的移动份额和铁路运输量增加,而航空运输货运量则降低经济增长。最后,电子旅游指数受到产业增加值和信息通信技术在化石燃料能源需求中的份额的积极影响。同时,航空运输客运量和信息通信技术在碳排放中的份额对一个国家的电子旅游指数有负面影响。该研究得出结论,沙特阿拉伯2030年的电子旅游和绿色可持续发展愿景可以通过推广绿色信息通信技术、更清洁的生产技术、可持续的消费和生产、严格的环境法规以及绿色旅游基础设施来实现,这最终将支持沙特实现国家繁荣的愿景计划。