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不确定性还是信任?政治信任、感知到的不确定性与公众对个人碳交易政策的接受度

Uncertainty or trust? Political trust, perceived uncertainty and public acceptance of personal carbon trading policy.

作者信息

Gao Lan, Jiang Jingjing, He Haonan, Zhou Qi, Wang Shanyong, Li Jun

机构信息

School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, 230026, Anhui Province, People's Republic of China.

School of Economics and Management, Harbin Institute of Technology (Shenzhen), Shenzhen, 518055, Guangdong Province, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Environ Geochem Health. 2022 Sep;44(9):3157-3171. doi: 10.1007/s10653-022-01214-y. Epub 2022 Feb 7.

DOI:10.1007/s10653-022-01214-y
PMID:35129706
Abstract

Achieving carbon neutrality has become a global consensus, and plenty of measures and policies have been proposed in various industries to obtain this ambitious goal. As an innovative and radical environmental policy tool, personal carbon trading (PCT) policy which aims to reduce carbon emissions from the private consumption sector has aroused the attention. For a new policy tool, public support and acceptance is critical to obtain policy legitimacy and policy implementation. To implement PCT policy smoothly, the current research aims to explore the antecedents of public acceptance. From the emotional reaction perspective, this research mainly evaluated how political trust, perceived uncertainty and associated emotions matter for public acceptance of PCT policy. Based on the survey data, this research revealed that political trust has a direct positive impact on public acceptance of PCT policy. Meanwhile, political trust also has an indirect impact on public acceptance of PCT policy via emotions. Specifically, political trust is positively associated with positive emotions and negatively associated with negative emotions. Positive emotions promote public to accept PCT policy, while negative emotions inhibit public to accept PCT policy. The negative emotions exert a more powerful impact on public acceptance than positive emotions. Additionally, we found that perceived uncertainty exerts a negative effect on public acceptance and negatively regulates the relationship between political trust and public acceptance. That is, perceived uncertainty has a significant substitution effect on political trust. According to the research findings, policy implications to improve public acceptance of PCT policy were explored.

摘要

实现碳中和已成为全球共识,各行业已提出大量措施和政策以实现这一宏伟目标。作为一种创新且激进的环境政策工具,旨在减少私人消费部门碳排放的个人碳交易(PCT)政策已引起关注。对于一项新的政策工具而言,公众支持与接受对于获得政策合法性及政策实施至关重要。为了顺利实施PCT政策,当前研究旨在探究公众接受的影响因素。从情感反应视角出发,本研究主要评估了政治信任、感知不确定性及相关情感如何影响公众对PCT政策的接受。基于调查数据,本研究发现政治信任对公众对PCT政策的接受有直接的正向影响。同时,政治信任也通过情感对公众对PCT政策的接受产生间接影响。具体而言,政治信任与积极情感正相关,与消极情感负相关。积极情感促进公众接受PCT政策,而消极情感抑制公众接受PCT政策。消极情感对公众接受的影响比积极情感更为强烈。此外,我们发现感知不确定性对公众接受有负面影响,并对政治信任与公众接受之间的关系起到负向调节作用。也就是说,感知不确定性对政治信任有显著的替代效应。根据研究结果,探讨了提高公众对PCT政策接受度的政策启示。

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