Population Research Centre, Faculty of Spatial Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2022 Jul 5;77(7):1336-1349. doi: 10.1093/geronb/gbac011.
OBJECTIVES: Research on the role of siblings in older adult migration lags behind a growing number of studies on adult children as a mobility attraction. We attend to this gap by examining (a) to what extent the absence of partners and/or adult children influences older adults' (age 70-84) migration toward faraway siblings (at least 50 km away) and (b) how these migrations are patterned by the location of other family members (children, other siblings, and nephews/nieces). METHODS: We use multinomial logistic regression models and analyze dyads of older adults and all distant siblings from the Swedish population register data between 2012 and 2016 (N = 1,743,234). We control for several characteristics of older adults and their siblings that may affect the decision to move closer, including sociodemographic characteristics and measures of location-specific capital. RESULTS: Widowed, divorced, and never-married older adults were more likely to move closer to distant siblings than those with a partner. Not having children was associated with a higher likelihood of moving toward a sibling. Living near adult children or other siblings deterred relocation toward siblings, while family clustered at a distance reinforced the location's attractiveness for migration. DISCUSSION: As declines in fertility broadly reflect people's decisions to have fewer children or forego having families, siblings might emerge as more active players in the family networks of older adults. Our research indicates that siblings can be a destination for migration and, therefore, should be considered as important members of social networks of older adults, especially those who do not have partners and/or adult children available.
目的:关于兄弟姐妹在老年移民中的作用的研究落后于越来越多的关于成年子女作为迁移吸引力的研究。我们通过考察(a)在多大程度上缺乏伴侣和/或成年子女会影响老年成年人(70-84 岁)向远方兄弟姐妹(至少 50 公里远)的迁移,以及(b)这些迁移如何由其他家庭成员(子女、其他兄弟姐妹和侄子/侄女)的位置来塑造,来解决这一差距。
方法:我们使用多项逻辑回归模型,并分析了 2012 年至 2016 年间瑞典人口登记数据中老年人和所有远距离兄弟姐妹的对偶数据(N=1743234)。我们控制了老年人及其兄弟姐妹的几个可能影响更接近的决定的特征,包括社会人口特征和特定位置资本的衡量标准。
结果:丧偶、离婚和未婚的老年人比有伴侣的老年人更有可能接近远方的兄弟姐妹。没有孩子的人与更有可能向兄弟姐妹靠拢的可能性相关。居住在成年子女或其他兄弟姐妹附近会阻碍向兄弟姐妹的搬迁,而家庭在远处聚集则会增强该地点对移民的吸引力。
讨论:随着生育率的普遍下降反映了人们生育子女或不组建家庭的决定,兄弟姐妹可能会成为老年人家庭网络中更活跃的参与者。我们的研究表明,兄弟姐妹可以成为迁移的目的地,因此,应被视为老年人社交网络中重要的成员,尤其是那些没有伴侣和/或成年子女的老年人。
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