Mingozzi Toni, Storino Pierpaolo, Venuto Giampalmo, Massolo Alessandro, Tavecchia Giacomo
Department of Biology, Ecology and Earth Sciences (DiBEST), University of Calabria, Via P. Bucci, Rende 87036, Italy.
Department of Biology, Ethology Unit, University of Pisa, Via L. Ghini, 13, Pisa 56126, Italy.
Curr Zool. 2021 Mar 26;68(1):9-17. doi: 10.1093/cz/zoab029. eCollection 2022 Feb.
The increase in the average air temperature due to global warming has produced an early onset of the reproduction in many migratory birds of the Paleartic region. According to the "mismatch hypothesis" this response can lead to a decrease in the breeding output when the conditions that trigger the departure from the wintering areas do not match the availability of food resources in the breeding ground. We used 653 brooding events registered during the period 1991-2013 to investigate the link between climatic variables and individual breeding performance of a partially migratory passerine, the Rock Sparrow , breeding at the altitude limit of its distribution. The laying date (LD) of the earliest first clutch was associated with local spring (minimum) temperatures but did not show a significant trend during the period considered. The LD of the latest first clutch had a positive and statistically significant trend, unrelated to local covariates and resulting in a longer breeding season (∼1.5 days/year). A longer breeding season allowed birds to produce more second clutches, which proportion increased from 0.14 to 0.25. The average breeding success was also positively correlated with the average temperature in July and with the duration of the breeding season. Contrary to expectations, the most important climate-dependent effect was a stretch of the breeding season due to a significant increase of the LD of the latest first-clutches rather than an earlier breeding onset. We show how climate changes act on bird populations through multiple paths and stress the need to assess the link between climatic variables and several aspects of the breeding cycle.
全球变暖导致的平均气温上升使得古北区许多候鸟的繁殖提前开始。根据“错配假说”,当触发候鸟离开越冬地的条件与繁殖地食物资源的可利用性不匹配时,这种反应可能导致繁殖产出下降。我们利用1991年至2013年期间记录的653次育雏事件,研究了气候变量与一种部分迁徙的雀形目鸟类——石雀在其分布海拔极限处繁殖时个体繁殖表现之间的联系。最早一窝卵的产卵日期(LD)与当地春季(最低)温度有关,但在所考虑的时间段内没有呈现出显著趋势。最晚一窝卵的产卵日期呈正相关且具有统计学意义的趋势,与当地协变量无关,导致繁殖季节延长(约1.5天/年)。更长的繁殖季节使鸟类能够产出更多的第二窝卵,其比例从0.14增加到0.25。平均繁殖成功率也与7月的平均温度以及繁殖季节的时长呈正相关。与预期相反,最重要的气候相关效应是由于最晚一窝卵的产卵日期显著增加导致繁殖季节延长,而不是繁殖开始提前。我们展示了气候变化如何通过多种途径影响鸟类种群,并强调了评估气候变量与繁殖周期多个方面之间联系的必要性。