Department of Human Development and Family Studies, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Champaign, Illinois, USA.
School of Social Work, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Subst Use Misuse. 2022;57(4):640-648. doi: 10.1080/10826084.2022.2034877. Epub 2022 Feb 10.
Informed by cognitive dissonance theory, the current study investigated the ability of youths' belief that drug use is wrong to predict likelihood of past year substance use abstinence as well as frequency of use at grades 8, 10, and 12.
Study analyses were executed from a statewide epidemiological survey of more than 125,000 youth using multi-group Zero-Inflated Poisson regression modeling.
Personal belief that drug use is wrong demonstrated the largest magnitude of effect at each grade among the individual, family, and school-based factors under examination; this finding emerged with respect to predicting past year substance use abstinence as well as rates of substance use among individuals reporting past year use. Although differences across grades were evident for the magnitude of effect within various risk and protective factors, the rank ordering in magnitude of effect between factors was consistent across grades 8, 10, and 12.
Current results underscore the salience of youths' belief that drug use is wrong in explaining likelihood of past year substance use at multiple time points during adolescence.
Supplemental data for this article is available online at https://doi.org/10.1080/10826084.2022.2034877 .
受认知失调理论的启发，本研究调查了青少年认为吸毒错误的信念是否能预测过去一年物质使用的禁欲率，以及在 8、10 和 12 年级的使用频率。
本研究分析使用多组零膨胀泊松回归模型，对超过 125,000 名青少年进行的全州范围的流行病学调查进行了分析。
在个人、家庭和学校为基础的因素中，个人对吸毒错误的信念在每个年级的影响程度最大；这一发现既适用于预测过去一年的物质使用禁欲率，也适用于报告过去一年有使用经历的个体的物质使用频率。虽然在各种风险和保护因素中，各年级之间的效应大小存在差异，但在 8、10 和 12 年级，各因素之间的效应大小排序是一致的。
目前的结果强调了青少年认为吸毒错误的信念在解释青春期多个时间点过去一年物质使用可能性方面的重要性。
