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交互式模糊优化模型在重新设计供应链以增强恢复力方面的应用。

An application of interactive fuzzy optimization model for redesigning supply chain for resilience.

作者信息

Kungwalsong Kanokporn, Mendoza Abraham, Kamath Vasanth, Pazhani Subramanian, Marmolejo-Saucedo Jose Antonio

机构信息

Graduate School of Management and Innovation, King Mongkut's University of Technology Thonburi, Bangkok, Thailand.

Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Panamericana, Álvaro del Portillo 49, 45010 Zapopan, Jalisco Mexico.

出版信息

Ann Oper Res. 2022;315(2):1803-1839. doi: 10.1007/s10479-022-04542-5. Epub 2022 Feb 15.

DOI:10.1007/s10479-022-04542-5
PMID:35194286
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8853350/
Abstract

Supply chain disruptions compel professionals all over the world to consider alternate strategies for addressing these issues and remaining profitable in the future. In this study, we considered a four-stage global supply chain and designed the network with the objectives of maximizing profit and minimizing disruption risk. We quantified and modeled disruption risk as a function of the geographic diversification of facilities called supply density (evaluated based on the interstage distance between nodes) to mitigate the risk caused by disruptions. Furthermore, we developed a bi-criteria mixed-integer linear programming model for designing the supply chain in order to maximize profit and supply density. We propose an interactive fuzzy optimization algorithm that generates efficient frontiers by systematically taking decision-maker inputs and solves the bi-criteria model problem in the context of a realistic example. We also conducted disruption analysis using a discrete set of disruption scenarios to determine the advantages of the network design from the bi-criteria model over the traditional profit maximization model. Our study demonstrates that the network design from the bi-criteria model has a 2% higher expected profit and a 2.2% lower profit variance under disruption than the traditional profit maximization solution. We envisage that this model will help firms evaluate the trade-offs between mitigation benefits and mitigation costs.

摘要

供应链中断迫使全球专业人士考虑替代策略来解决这些问题并在未来保持盈利。在本研究中,我们考虑了一个四阶段的全球供应链,并以利润最大化和中断风险最小化为目标设计了该网络。我们将中断风险量化并建模为设施地理多样化(称为供应密度,基于节点间阶段距离评估)的函数,以减轻中断造成的风险。此外,我们开发了一个双目标混合整数线性规划模型来设计供应链,以实现利润最大化和供应密度最大化。我们提出了一种交互式模糊优化算法,该算法通过系统地获取决策者输入来生成有效前沿,并在一个实际示例的背景下解决双目标模型问题。我们还使用一组离散的中断场景进行了中断分析,以确定双目标模型的网络设计相对于传统利润最大化模型的优势。我们的研究表明,与传统利润最大化解决方案相比,双目标模型的网络设计在中断情况下预期利润高2%,利润方差低2.2%。我们设想该模型将帮助企业评估缓解效益和缓解成本之间的权衡。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/14ad8bfb045d/10479_2022_4542_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/b834ef9411cd/10479_2022_4542_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/5ae6812f9a1e/10479_2022_4542_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/5cbdef0c4d0b/10479_2022_4542_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/52137d9688b4/10479_2022_4542_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/2183b69c21ba/10479_2022_4542_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/14ad8bfb045d/10479_2022_4542_Fig6_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/b834ef9411cd/10479_2022_4542_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/5ae6812f9a1e/10479_2022_4542_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/5cbdef0c4d0b/10479_2022_4542_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/52137d9688b4/10479_2022_4542_Fig4_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/2183b69c21ba/10479_2022_4542_Fig5_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/8d5e/8853350/14ad8bfb045d/10479_2022_4542_Fig6_HTML.jpg

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本文引用的文献

1
Forecasting and planning during a pandemic: COVID-19 growth rates, supply chain disruptions, and governmental decisions.大流行期间的预测与规划:新冠疫情的增长率、供应链中断及政府决策
Eur J Oper Res. 2021 Apr 1;290(1):99-115. doi: 10.1016/j.ejor.2020.08.001. Epub 2020 Aug 8.
2
A brave new world: Lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic for transitioning to sustainable supply and production.一个全新的世界:新冠疫情对向可持续供应和生产转型的启示。
Resour Conserv Recycl. 2020 Aug;159:104894. doi: 10.1016/j.resconrec.2020.104894. Epub 2020 Apr 17.