Maternal and Child Health Care Research Center, Gansu Provincial Maternity and Child Care Hospital, Lanzhou 730050, China.
Zhongguo Dang Dai Er Ke Za Zhi. 2022 Feb 15;24(2):147-154. doi: 10.7499/j.issn.1008-8830.2109053.
To study the association of the levels of heavy metals and trace elements during pregnancy with congenital heart defects (CHD) in offspring, and to establish a model for predicting the probability of CHD based on the levels of heavy metals and trace elements during pregnancy.
Based on the prospective birth cohort study in Gansu Provincial Maternal and Child Health Hospital in 2010-2012, a nested case-control study was conducted for the follow-up observation of 14 359 pregnant women. Among the pregnant women, 97 pregnant women whose offspring were diagnosed with CHD during follow-up were enrolled as the CHD group, and 194 pregnant women whose offspring had no CHD were selected as the control group. Inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry was used to measure the levels of heavy metals and trace elements in maternal blood samples and fetal umbilical cord blood samples. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between heavy metal and trace elements and CHD in offspring. A nomogram model for predicting the probability of CHD in offspring was established based on the levels of heavy metals and trace elements during pregnancy.
Compared with the control group, the CHD group had significantly higher levels of aluminum (Al), natrium (Na), calcium (Ca), titanium (Ti), selenium (Se), strontium (Sr), stannum (Sn), stibium (Sb), barium (Ba), and thorium (Th) in maternal blood samples (<0.05), as well as significantly higher levels of Al, zinc (Zn), magnesium (Mg), kalium (K), Ca, Ti, chromium (Cr), copper (Cu), arsenic (As), Se, Sr, argentum (Ag), cadmium (Cd), Sn, and plumbum (Pb) in umbilical cord blood (<0.05). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the increase in the Sb level in maternal blood was associated with the increase in the risk of CHD in offspring [adjusted odds ratio ()=4.81, 95% confidence interval (: 1.65-14.07, =0.004], while in umbilical cord blood, the high levels of Al (=4.22, 95%: 1.35-13.16, =0.013), Mg (=8.00, 95%: 1.52-42.08, =0.014), and Pb (=3.82, 95%: 0.96-15.23, =0.049) were significantly associated with the risk of CHD in offspring. The levels of Al, Th, and Sb in maternal blood and levels of Al, Mg, and Pb in umbilical cord blood were included in the predictive model for CHD in offspring based on the levels of heavy metals and trace elements during pregnancy, and the calibration curve of the nomogram predictive model was close to the ideal curve.
Increases in the levels of Al, Th, Sb, Mg, and Pb during pregnancy may indicate the increase in the risk of CHD in offspring, and the nomogram predictive model based on these indices can be used to predict the probability of CHD in offspring.
研究妊娠期间重金属和微量元素水平与子女先天性心脏病(CHD)的关联,并建立基于妊娠期间重金属和微量元素水平预测 CHD 概率的模型。
基于 2010-2012 年甘肃省妇幼保健院前瞻性出生队列研究,对 14359 名孕妇进行嵌套病例对照研究,对随访观察。在这些孕妇中,有 97 名孕妇在随访期间其子女被诊断为 CHD,被纳入 CHD 组,有 194 名孕妇其子女无 CHD,被选为对照组。采用电感耦合等离子体质谱法检测母血和胎儿脐血样本中重金属和微量元素水平。采用多因素 logistic 回归分析评估重金属和微量元素与子女 CHD 的关系。基于妊娠期间重金属和微量元素水平,建立预测子女 CHD 概率的列线图模型。
与对照组相比,CHD 组母血中铝(Al)、钠(Na)、钙(Ca)、钛(Ti)、硒(Se)、锶(Sr)、锡(Sn)、锑(Sb)、钡(Ba)和钍(Th)水平明显升高(<0.05),脐血中 Al、锌(Zn)、镁(Mg)、钾(K)、Ca、Ti、铬(Cr)、铜(Cu)、砷(As)、Se、Sr、银(Ag)、镉(Cd)、Sn 和铅(Pb)水平明显升高(<0.05)。多因素 logistic 回归分析显示,母血中 Sb 水平升高与子女 CHD 风险增加相关[调整优势比(OR)=4.81,95%置信区间(CI):1.65-14.07,=0.004],而在脐血中,Al(OR=4.22,95%CI:1.35-13.16,=0.013)、Mg(OR=8.00,95%CI:1.52-42.08,=0.014)和 Pb(OR=3.82,95%CI:0.96-15.23,=0.049)水平升高与子女 CHD 风险显著相关。基于妊娠期间重金属和微量元素水平,将母血中的 Al、Th、Sb 和脐血中的 Al、Mg 和 Pb 水平纳入子女 CHD 预测模型,列线图预测模型的校准曲线接近理想曲线。
妊娠期间 Al、Th、Sb、Mg 和 Pb 水平升高可能提示子女 CHD 风险增加,基于这些指标的列线图预测模型可用于预测子女 CHD 的概率。