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1997年亚洲金融危机和2008年全球金融危机对发达国家和发展中国家可再生能源消费及二氧化碳排放的影响。

The impacts of the 1997 Asian financial crisis and the 2008 global financial crisis on renewable energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions for developed and developing countries.

作者信息

Wang Chi-Hui, Padmanabhan Prasad, Huang Chia-Hsing

机构信息

Beijing Institute of Technology, Zhuhai 519088, China.

Greehey School of Business, St. Mary's University, San Antonio, TX 78228, USA.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2022 Feb 9;8(2):e08931. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e08931. eCollection 2022 Feb.

Abstract

This paper examines whether the 1997 Asian financial crisis affected the renewable energy/carbon dioxide (CO) emissions relationship differently when compared to the 2008 global financial crises. Using the Dynamic Panel Data Model, we examine separately the impact of the 1997 crisis and the 2008 crises on the stated relationship for annual data between the 1987-2018 period for a group of high, upper-middle, and lower middle-income countries. Our findings suggest that the results were crisis and country specific. For the overall sample, the relationship between the two variables was positive (and significant post-1997 and pre-2008 crises) but negative post-2008 crisis. In contrast, the positive relationship remained unchanged for the lower middle-income subsample through the two crises. We also find evidence that the 1997 Asian crisis altered the relationship differently than the 2008 financial crisis especially for the upper and middle-income groups. Clearly, reduction of CO emissions may not be guaranteed even if host countries adopt renewable energy sources since country income levels and the nature of the crisis may matter. Future research may consider how the degree of pollution controls and differential costs of renewable energy adoption in countries may alter this relationship.

摘要

本文探讨了1997年亚洲金融危机与2008年全球金融危机相比,是否对可再生能源/二氧化碳(CO)排放关系产生了不同影响。利用动态面板数据模型,我们分别考察了1997年危机和2008年危机对1987 - 2018年期间一组高收入、中高收入和中低收入国家年度数据中所述关系的影响。我们的研究结果表明,结果因危机和国家而异。对于总体样本,两个变量之间的关系是正的(在1997年后和2008年前的危机期间显著),但在2008年危机后是负的。相比之下,中低收入子样本在两次危机期间的正相关关系保持不变。我们还发现,1997年亚洲危机对关系的改变与2008年金融危机不同,特别是对中高收入群体。显然,即使东道国采用可再生能源,也不一定能保证减少二氧化碳排放,因为国家收入水平和危机性质可能很重要。未来的研究可以考虑各国污染控制程度和采用可再生能源的不同成本如何改变这种关系。

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