School of Economics and Management, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.
School of Social Sciences and Humanities, National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad, Pakistan.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Feb;29(10):14930-14947. doi: 10.1007/s11356-021-16641-0. Epub 2021 Oct 8.
This empirical study examines the endogenous relationship between carbon emissions (CO), financial development, renewable energy, globalization, and institutional quality in 64 belt and road initiative countries (BRI) using a two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) approach with panel data over the period 2003 to 2018. Furthermore, this study used (Dumitrescu & Hurlin, 2012) causality test to estimate the variables' causal relationship. The results indicate that financial development significantly increases CO emissions and causes environmental degradation in BRI countries. However, renewable energy and globalization mitigate CO emissions and improve the quality of the environment. Institutional quality was positive in correlation with CO emission and indicates bad governance, corruption, weak bureaucracy, and improper implementation of environmental laws cause environmental degradation. Further, the study also reports a bidirectional relationship of financial development, renewable energy, and institutional quality with CO emissions and a unidirectional causality running from globalization to CO emissions in BRI countries. This study offers policymakers insight into restructuring the financial system, energy consumption pattern, and global integration and improving institutions' quality for a sustainable environment and the economy at the national and regional levels.
本实证研究使用面板数据的两步系统广义矩估计(GMM)方法,考察了 2003 年至 2018 年间 64 个“一带一路”倡议国家(BRI)中碳排放(CO)、金融发展、可再生能源、全球化和制度质量之间的内生关系。此外,本研究还使用(Dumitrescu & Hurlin,2012)因果关系检验来估计变量之间的因果关系。结果表明,金融发展显著增加了 BRI 国家的 CO 排放,并导致环境恶化。然而,可再生能源和全球化则减轻了 CO 排放并改善了环境质量。制度质量与 CO 排放呈正相关,表明糟糕的治理、腐败、薄弱的官僚机构以及环境法规执行不当导致了环境恶化。此外,该研究还报告了金融发展、可再生能源和制度质量与 CO 排放之间的双向关系,以及全球化对 BRI 国家 CO 排放的单向因果关系。本研究为决策者提供了深入了解的机会,以在国家和地区层面上重构金融体系、能源消费模式和全球一体化,并改善制度质量,以实现可持续的环境和经济。