Department of Life Science and Division of EcoScience, Ewha Womans University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Federal Scientific Center of the East Asia Terrestrial Biodiversity Far Eastern Branch of Russian Academy of Sciences, Vladivostock, Russian Federation.
PeerJ. 2022 Mar 3;10:e12999. doi: 10.7717/peerj.12999. eCollection 2022.
Ecological niche modeling is a tool used to determine current potential species' distribution or habitat suitability models which can then be used to project suitable areas in time. Projections of suitability into past climates can identify locations of climate refugia, or areas with high climatic stability likely to contain the highest levels of genetic diversity and stable populations when climatic conditions are less suitable in other parts of the range. Modeling habitat suitability for closely related species in recent past can also reveal potential periods and regions of contact and possible admixture. In the east palearctic, there are five (Hylid treefrog) clades belonging to two groups: group: Clades A and B; and group: , , and . We used maximum entropy modeling to determine the suitable ranges of these five clades during the present and projected to the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and Last Interglacial (LIG) periods. We also calculated climatic stability for each clade to identify possible areas of climate refugia. Our models indicated suitable range expansion during the LGM for four clades with the exclusion of . High climatic stability in our models corresponded to areas with the highest numbers of recorded occurrences in the present. The models produced here can additionally serve as baselines for models of suitability under climate change scenarios and indicate species ecological requirements.
生态位模型是一种用于确定当前潜在物种分布或栖息地适宜性模型的工具,然后可以用于预测时间上的适宜区域。将适宜性投射到过去的气候中,可以确定气候避难所的位置,或在其他地区气候条件不太适宜时,具有高气候稳定性的地区可能包含最高水平的遗传多样性和稳定种群。对最近亲缘关系密切的物种的栖息地适宜性进行建模,也可以揭示潜在的接触和可能混合的时期和区域。在东洋界,有五个(树蛙属)分支属于两个组:A 组:分支 A 和 B;和 B 组: , 和 。我们使用最大熵模型来确定这五个分支在现在和预测到的最后一个冰河时代(LGM)和最后一个间冰期(LIG)期间的适宜范围。我们还计算了每个分支的气候稳定性,以确定可能的气候避难所区域。我们的模型表明,在 LGM 期间,除了 之外的四个分支的适宜范围有所扩大。我们的模型中高气候稳定性对应于目前记录发生次数最多的区域。这里生成的模型还可以作为气候变化情景下适宜性模型的基线,并指示物种的生态需求。