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人为气候变化导致喜马拉雅山的冰川融化。

Anthropogenic climate change drives melting of glaciers in the Himalaya.

机构信息

Department of Geoinformatics, University of Kashmir, Hazratbal, Srinagar, India.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2022 Jul;29(35):52732-52751. doi: 10.1007/s11356-022-19524-0. Epub 2022 Mar 10.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-022-19524-0
PMID:35274205
Abstract

The Himalayan glaciers provide water to a large population in south Asia for a variety of purposes and ecosystem services. As a result, regional monitoring of glacier melting and identification of the drivers are important for understanding and predicting future cryospheric melting trends. Using multi-date satellite images from 2000 to 2020, we investigated the shrinkage, snout retreat, thickness changes, mass loss and velocity changes of 77 glaciers in the Drass basin, western Himalaya, India. During this period, the total glacier cover has shrunk by 5.31 ± 0.33 km. The snout retreat ranged from 30 to 430 m (mean 155 ± 9.58 m). Debris cover had a significant impact on glacier melting, with clean glaciers losing ~ 5% more than debris-covered glaciers (~ 2%). The average thickness change and mass loss of glacier have been - 1.27 ± 0.37 and - 1.08 ± 0.31 m w.e.a, respectively. Because of the continuous melting and the consequent mass loss, average glacier velocity has reduced from 21.35 ± 3.3 m a in 2000 to 16.68 ± 1.9 m a by 2020. During the observation period, the concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs), black carbon (BC) and other pollutants from vehicular traffic near the glaciers increased significantly. Increasing temperatures, caused by a significant increase in GHGs, black carbon and other pollutants in the atmosphere, are driving glacier melting in the study area. If the current trend continues in the future, the Himalayan glaciers may disappear entirely, having a significant impact on regional water supplies, hydrological processes, ecosystem services and transboundary water sharing.

摘要

喜马拉雅冰川为南亚的大量人口提供了多种用途和生态系统服务的水源。因此,对冰川融化的区域监测和驱动因素的识别对于了解和预测未来的冰冻圈融化趋势非常重要。本研究利用 2000 年至 2020 年期间的多期卫星图像,调查了印度喜马拉雅山西部德拉斯盆地 77 条冰川的退缩、末端后退、厚度变化、质量损失和速度变化。在此期间,总冰川覆盖面积减少了 5.31±0.33km。末端后退范围为 30 至 430m(平均值为 155±9.58m)。冰碛物覆盖对冰川融化有显著影响,干净的冰川融化量比有冰碛物覆盖的冰川多约 5%(约 2%)。冰川的平均厚度变化和质量损失分别为-1.27±0.37 和-1.08±0.31m w.e.a。由于持续融化和随之而来的质量损失,平均冰川速度从 2000 年的 21.35±3.3m a 降低到 2020 年的 16.68±1.9m a。在观测期间,冰川附近温室气体(GHGs)、黑碳(BC)和其他交通污染物的浓度显著增加。大气中 GHGs、黑碳和其他污染物的显著增加导致气温升高,这是研究区域冰川融化的驱动因素。如果未来继续保持这种趋势,喜马拉雅冰川可能会完全消失,这将对区域水资源、水文过程、生态系统服务和跨界水资源共享产生重大影响。

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