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他汀类药物的使用与卒中患者痴呆风险降低相关:基于社区的队列研究和逆概率加权边际结构模型分析。

Statin use is associated with lower risk of dementia in stroke patients: a community-based cohort study with inverse probability weighted marginal structural model analysis.

机构信息

Primary Care Unit, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, School of Clinical Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.

Department of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School &, Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, MA, USA.

出版信息

Eur J Epidemiol. 2022 Jun;37(6):615-627. doi: 10.1007/s10654-022-00856-7. Epub 2022 Mar 19.

Abstract

Current evidence is inconclusive on cognitive benefits or harms of statins among stroke patients, who have high risk of dementia. This observational cohort study investigated the association between statin use and post-stroke dementia using data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Patients without prior dementia who had an incident stroke but received no statins in the preceding year were followed for up to 10 years. We used inverse probability weighted marginal structural models to estimate observational analogues of intention-to-treat (ITT, statin initiation vs. no initiation) and per-protocol (PP, sustained statin use vs. no use) effects on the risk of dementia. To explore potential impact of unmeasured confounding, we examined the risks of coronary heart disease (CHD, positive control outcome), fracture and peptic ulcer (negative control outcomes). In 18,577 statin initiators and 14,613 non-initiators (mean follow-up of 4.2 years), the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for dementia was 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.64-0.75) in ITT analysis and 0.55 (95% CI 0.50-0.62) in PP analysis. The corresponding aHR and aHR were 0.87 (95% CI 0.79-0.95) and 0.70 (95% CI 0.62-0.80) for CHD, 1.03 (95% CI 0.82-1.29) and 1.09 (95% CI 0.77-1.54) for peptic ulcer, and 0.88 (95% CI 0.80-0.96) and 0.86 (95% CI 0.75-0.98) for fracture. Statin initiation after stroke was associated with lower risk of dementia, with a potentially greater benefit in patients who persisted with statins over time. The observed association of statin use with post-stroke dementia may in part be overestimated due to unmeasured confounding shared with the association between statin use and fracture.

摘要

目前,对于他汀类药物在具有高痴呆风险的中风患者中的认知益处或危害尚无定论。本观察性队列研究使用来自临床实践研究数据库的数据,调查了他汀类药物使用与中风后痴呆之间的关系。无痴呆病史的患者发生了中风,但在过去一年中未使用他汀类药物,对其进行了长达 10 年的随访。我们使用逆概率加权边际结构模型来估计意向治疗(他汀类药物起始与未起始)和按方案(持续使用他汀类药物与未使用)对痴呆风险的观察性模拟效果。为了探讨未测量混杂的潜在影响,我们检查了冠心病(阳性对照结果)、骨折和消化性溃疡(阴性对照结果)的风险。在 18577 名他汀类药物使用者和 14613 名非使用者中(平均随访时间为 4.2 年),意向治疗分析中痴呆的调整后危险比(aHR)为 0.70(95%置信区间 [CI] 0.64-0.75),按方案分析中为 0.55(95%CI 0.50-0.62)。冠心病的相应 aHR 和 aHR 分别为 0.87(95%CI 0.79-0.95)和 0.70(95%CI 0.62-0.80),消化性溃疡分别为 1.03(95%CI 0.82-1.29)和 1.09(95%CI 0.77-1.54),骨折分别为 0.88(95%CI 0.80-0.96)和 0.86(95%CI 0.75-0.98)。中风后开始使用他汀类药物与痴呆风险降低相关,随着时间的推移,持续使用他汀类药物的患者可能会获得更大的益处。他汀类药物使用与中风后痴呆之间的观察到的关联可能由于与他汀类药物使用和骨折之间的关联相关的未测量混杂而被高估。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a192/9288375/561dc4147aee/10654_2022_856_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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