Han Siyu, Wang Mengcheng, Liu Qi, Wang Renyang, Ou Guoliang, Zhang Lu
College of Public Administration, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430079, China.
Research Institute of New Economic, Ningbo University of Finance and Economics, Ningbo 315175, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2022 Mar 9;19(6):3212. doi: 10.3390/ijerph19063212.
As China's economy advances into a new stage of high-quality development driven by scientific and technological innovation, it is of great practical importance to probe what effects land disposition, which underpinned the previous round of rapid economic growth, and may have an exertion on developing innovation. Based on a deep exploration of the potential positive and negative influences of land disposition in relation to the effects of land finance on urban innovation, we employed a dynamic spatial Durbin model, along with panel data from 266 Chinese prefecture-level cities over the period 2004-2017. The empirical results show that the development of China's urban innovation has had significant path dependence, spatial agglomeration, and inhibiting effects on neighboring cities, and these effects are attributed to inter-governmental competition and the Matthew effect. Overall, the combined impacts of land disposition modes on urban innovation have changed, from facilitative in the early stage to inhibitory at present. In the developed cities of east China, the facilitative effect of land disposition has weakened gradually, and tends to disappear entirely, while the change in impact over time in less developed mid-western cities is consistent with the national sample. This study broadens our understanding of the role of land disposition in China's urban innovative development and has meaningful direct implications for policymakers.
随着中国经济步入由科技创新驱动的高质量发展新阶段，探究支撑上一轮经济快速增长的土地配置会对创新发展产生何种影响具有重大现实意义。基于对土地配置在土地财政影响城市创新方面潜在正负效应的深入探究，我们运用动态空间杜宾模型，并结合2004 - 2017年中国266个地级市的面板数据进行分析。实证结果表明，中国城市创新发展存在显著的路径依赖、空间集聚以及对邻近城市的抑制效应，这些效应归因于政府间竞争和马太效应。总体而言，土地配置模式对城市创新的综合影响已发生变化，从早期的促进作用转变为当前的抑制作用。在中国东部发达城市，土地配置的促进作用逐渐减弱，且趋于完全消失，而中西部欠发达城市的影响随时间的变化与全国样本一致。本研究拓宽了我们对土地配置在中国城市创新发展中作用的理解，对政策制定者具有重要的直接启示意义。
