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非转移性胃印戒细胞癌长期生存者的特征及预测因素:一项基于大人群的研究

Characteristics and Predictors of Long-Time Survivors in Non-Metastatic Gastric Signet Ring Cell Carcinoma: A Large Population-Based Study.

作者信息

Weng Qiuyan, Li Zhe, Xie Yaoyao, Guo Junming, Zhang Yong, Ye Guoliang

机构信息

Department of Neurology, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.

Department of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Medical School, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Zhejiang, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Int J Gen Med. 2022 Mar 19;15:3133-3142. doi: 10.2147/IJGM.S350448. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Gastric signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC) is a distinct entity with a relatively poor prognosis. This study analyzed the clinicopathological characteristics of long-time survivors (LTSs) and identified independent predictors of long-term survival (LTS) in non-metastatic gastric SRCC.

METHODS

Data from 3906 patients with non-metastatic gastric SRCC were retrieved from Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. Predictors of LTS in the training cohort were identified by multivariate logistic regression. A nomogram-based predictive model for LTS was constructed in non-metastatic gastric SRCC.

RESULTS

There were 800 patients who survived for >5 years and were defined as TLSs. Young age, other race (not black or white population), female gender, married status, small tumor size, low tumor infiltration, and negative lymph node involvement were independent predictors of LTS in non-metastatic gastric SRCC. These seven variables were incorporated into a nomogram model for predicting LTS. The calibration curve showed good consistency between observed and predicted probability of LTS, and the receiver operating characteristic curve showed acceptable discriminative capacity in the training and validation cohorts.

CONCLUSION

This study provides an overview of the features of patients with non-metastatic gastric SRCC. Age, race, sex, marital status, tumor size, tumor infiltration, and lymph node involvement were identified as independent predictors of LTS.

摘要

目的

胃印戒细胞癌(SRCC)是一种预后相对较差的独特实体。本研究分析了长期生存者(LTSs)的临床病理特征,并确定了非转移性胃SRCC长期生存(LTS)的独立预测因素。

方法

根据纳入和排除标准,从监测、流行病学和最终结果中检索3906例非转移性胃SRCC患者的数据。患者被随机分为训练组和验证组。通过多因素逻辑回归确定训练组中LTS的预测因素。构建了基于列线图的非转移性胃SRCC患者LTS预测模型。

结果

有800例患者存活超过5年,被定义为TLSs。年轻、其他种族(非黑种人或白种人群)、女性、婚姻状况、肿瘤体积小、肿瘤浸润程度低和无淋巴结转移是非转移性胃SRCC患者LTS的独立预测因素。将这七个变量纳入预测LTS的列线图模型。校准曲线显示观察到的和预测的LTS概率之间具有良好的一致性,受试者工作特征曲线显示在训练组和验证组中具有可接受的区分能力。

结论

本研究概述了非转移性胃SRCC患者的特征。年龄、种族、性别、婚姻状况、肿瘤大小、肿瘤浸润和淋巴结转移被确定为LTS的独立预测因素。

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