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过去二十年,印度-恒河平原和华北平原大气气溶胶的类型和吸收特性的变化趋势。

Trends in the types and absorption characteristics of ambient aerosols over the Indo-Gangetic Plain and North China Plain in last two decades.

机构信息

Physical Research Laboratory, Ahmedabad, India; Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Potsdam, Germany.

Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Potsdam, Germany.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2022 Jul 20;831:154867. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154867. Epub 2022 Mar 27.

Abstract

The sixth assessment report released by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2021 states that our inadequate understanding of magnitudes and trends of atmospheric aerosols, particularly over Asia, is a major source of uncertainty in climate change. In this study, the climatology and trends in different types of aerosols with focus on absorbing aerosols over Kanpur located in the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) in South Asia and Beijing in the North China Plain (NCP) in East Asia are derived for the first time. We perform a first analysis of high-quality time series of columnar aerosols observations over a period of nearly two-decades, along with satellite observations to provide a broader regional perspective. The satellite retrieved aerosol Ångström exponent (AE) values have increased (10-20%) suggesting an increasing contribution of fine aerosols to aerosol optical depth (AOD) over Asia in last 2-decades. Among the three aerosol types [urban-industrial (UI), biomass burning (BB), and dust (DU)], only UI and BB aerosols are present over Kanpur throughout the year, while DU is present along with UI and BB aerosols only during pre-monsoon and monsoon. Overall, there is a positive trend in BB aerosols over both Kanpur and Beijing, a positive (negative) trend in UI aerosols over Kanpur (Beijing), and positive (negative) trend in dust over Beijing (Kanpur). However, only the positive trend in BB aerosol type over Kanpur is statistically significant. Further, among the three absorbing aerosol types [mostly black carbon (MBC), mostly dust (MDU), and mixed (MIX) containing BC and dust], only MBC and MIX are present in post-monsoon and winter over IGP, and MDU is present along with MBC and MIX only during pre-monsoon and monsoon, which is in agreement with aerosol types found. Trends in MBC, MIX and MDU over Kanpur in IGP and in MIX over Beijing are statistically significant. These trends are attributed mainly to the changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions, and not to natural and climatic factors as their changes are relatively small. These findings on hitherto unavailable climatology and trends in aerosols and absorbing aerosols over two global aerosol hotspots and identified contrasts will be crucial in model simulations to better decipher the aerosol-climate interactions over Asia.

摘要

2021 年,政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)发布的第六次评估报告指出,我们对大气气溶胶的数量和趋势的理解不足,特别是对亚洲地区的理解不足,这是气候变化不确定性的主要来源。在这项研究中,首次得出了南亚印度-恒河平原(IGP)的坎普尔和东亚华北平原(NCP)的北京地区不同类型气溶胶(重点是吸收性气溶胶)的气候学和趋势。我们对近 20 年来柱气溶胶观测的高质量时间序列进行了首次分析,并结合卫星观测提供了更广泛的区域视角。卫星反演的气溶胶 Ångström 指数(AE)值增加了(10-20%),表明过去 20 年来亚洲气溶胶光学厚度(AOD)中细颗粒物的贡献增加。在三种气溶胶类型[城市工业(UI)、生物质燃烧(BB)和粉尘(DU)]中,只有 UI 和 BB 气溶胶全年存在于坎普尔,而 DU 仅在季风前和季风期间与 UI 和 BB 气溶胶一起存在。总体而言,坎普尔和北京的 BB 气溶胶呈正趋势,坎普尔的 UI 气溶胶呈正(负)趋势,北京的粉尘呈正(负)趋势。然而,只有坎普尔的 BB 气溶胶类型的正趋势具有统计学意义。此外,在三种吸收性气溶胶类型[主要是黑碳(MBC)、主要是粉尘(MDU)和含有 BC 和粉尘的混合(MIX)]中,只有 MBC 和 MIX 出现在 IGP 的后季风和冬季,而 MDU 仅在季风前和季风期间与 MBC 和 MIX 一起出现,这与发现的气溶胶类型一致。IGP 坎普尔的 MBC、MIX 和 MDU 以及北京的 MIX 的趋势具有统计学意义。这些趋势主要归因于人为气溶胶排放的变化,而不是自然和气候因素的变化,因为它们的变化相对较小。这些关于两个全球气溶胶热点地区气溶胶和吸收性气溶胶迄今尚未获得的气候学和趋势的发现以及所确定的对比,对于更好地解读亚洲地区的气溶胶-气候相互作用的模型模拟至关重要。

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