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非闭塞性肠系膜缺血的预后因素:一种实用的术前评分,用于预测 28 天死亡率。

Prognostic Factors in Non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia: A pragmatic pre-operative score for the prediction of 28-day mortality.

机构信息

Service de Radiologie, CHU Besançon, F- 25030, Besançon, France; EA 4662 Nanomedicine Lab, Imagery and Therapeutics, University of Franche-Comté, Besançon, France.

Service de Réanimation Médicale, CHU Besançon, F- 25030, Besançon, France.

出版信息

Am J Surg. 2022 Jul;224(1 Pt B):617-623. doi: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2022.03.048. Epub 2022 Apr 1.

DOI:10.1016/j.amjsurg.2022.03.048
PMID:35382932
Abstract

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of critical ill patients with non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia (NOMI) is poor and not fully understood. We aimed to determine preoperative factors associated with 28-day mortality in NOMI.

METHODS

Variables associated with 28-day mortality were entered into a multivariate cox regression model and were used to compute a NOMI mortality score.

RESULTS

154 patients were included. The 28-day mortality rate was 56%. Multivariable analyses including variables at the time of the CT identified three variables (i.e. lactates > 7 mmoL/l, prothrombin rate <60% and kidney infarction), included in a simple score. Among the study population, the probability of 28-day mortality was 26% (11/42), 54% (26/48), 77% (23/30) and 100% (21/21) for a survival score of 0, 1, 2 and 3, respectively.

CONCLUSION

A simple score combining these three variables, calculated preoperatively, was able to accurately predict 28-day mortality and might help to avoid futile laparotomies.

摘要

背景

危重症非闭塞性肠系膜缺血(NOMI)患者的预后较差,目前尚不完全清楚。本研究旨在确定与 NOMI 28 天死亡率相关的术前因素。

方法

将与 28 天死亡率相关的变量纳入多变量 Cox 回归模型,并用于计算 NOMI 死亡率评分。

结果

共纳入 154 例患者,28 天死亡率为 56%。多变量分析包括 CT 时的变量,确定了 3 个变量(即乳酸>7 mmol/L、凝血酶原率<60%和肾梗死),纳入一个简单的评分中。在研究人群中,根据生存评分 0、1、2 和 3,28 天死亡率分别为 26%(11/42)、54%(26/48)、77%(23/30)和 100%(21/21)。

结论

术前计算的、由这三个变量组成的简单评分能够准确预测 28 天死亡率,可能有助于避免无效剖腹手术。

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