Suppr超能文献

[伊尔库茨克州人口的寿命]

[The life-span of population of the Irkutsk Oblast].

作者信息

Leshchenko Ya A, Lisovtsov A A

机构信息

The Federal State Budget Scientific Institution "The Eastern Siberian Institute of Medical Ecological Studies", 665827, Angarsk, Russia.

The Federal State Budget Scientific Institution "The Eastern Siberian Institute of Medical Ecological Studies", 665827, Angarsk, Russia,

出版信息

Probl Sotsialnoi Gig Zdravookhranenniiai Istor Med. 2022 Mar;30(2):253-258. doi: 10.32687/0869-866X-2022-30-2-253-258.

Abstract

The indicator of average life expectancy at birth is widely used as systemic indicator of population quality of life and health. The purpose of the study is to identify, to evaluate quantitative and structural changes of indicator of life expectancy at birth in population of the Irkutsk Oblast during 1990-2019. The data of life expectancy at birth was obtained from the Rosstat websites. The original calculations of survival tables were carried out using the databases of the Center for Demographic Research at the New Economic School. The analysis of trends was carried out using linear regression analysis. The analysis of role of exogenous and endogenous determination of mortality in formation of average life expectancy was carried out. In 1990-2005, in the Irkutsk Oblast, occurred change in ranking of causes of death that determined the greatest irrecoverable losses of population and reduction of indicator of average life expectancy at birth. The essence of this change is in abnormally high proportion of exogenous causes of mortality, especially class of external causes of mortality, in the structure of irreversible demographic losses. In the Irkutsk Oblast, in 2006-2019, occurred favorable changes in the structure of irrecoverable losses, testifying returning to modern type of mortality. During the same period, indicator of average life expectancy at birth increased. It is established that changes occurred since 2006 in the quantitative and structural indices of mortality and average life expectancy at birth are very positive. However, during demographic processes in 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic intervened. This factor is bringing negative impact on economy, and after that on social sphere and public health. The further course of development of social demographic situation in the Irkutsk Oblast, in particular, dynamics of indicator of average life expectancy at birth, will depend on success of activities of authorities of all levels in struggle with pandemic and overcoming crisis events in social economic development.

摘要

出生时平均预期寿命指标被广泛用作人口生活质量和健康状况的系统性指标。本研究的目的是确定并评估1990 - 2019年伊尔库茨克州人口出生时预期寿命指标的数量和结构变化。出生时预期寿命的数据来自俄罗斯联邦国家统计局网站。生存表的原始计算使用了新经济学院人口研究中心的数据库。趋势分析采用线性回归分析方法。对死亡率的外生和内生决定因素在平均预期寿命形成中的作用进行了分析。1990 - 2005年期间,伊尔库茨克州决定人口最大不可挽回损失并导致出生时平均预期寿命指标下降的死因排名发生了变化。这种变化的本质在于,在不可逆转的人口损失结构中,外生死亡率原因,尤其是外部死因类别所占比例异常高。2006 - 2019年期间,伊尔库茨克州不可挽回损失的结构出现了有利变化,证明死亡率已回归现代类型。在此期间,出生时平均预期寿命指标有所增加。已确定自2006年以来,死亡率和出生时平均预期寿命的数量和结构指标发生的变化非常积极。然而,在2020年人口进程中,新冠疫情介入。这一因素给经济带来了负面影响,进而影响到社会领域和公众健康。伊尔库茨克州社会人口状况的未来发展进程,尤其是出生时平均预期寿命指标的动态变化,将取决于各级政府在抗击疫情和克服社会经济发展中的危机事件方面的活动成效。

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍。

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

文档翻译

学术文献翻译模型,支持多种主流文档格式。

立即体验