Universidade Federal do Maranhão (UFMA), Departamento de Oceanografia e Limnologia (DEOLI), Laboratório de Estudo e Modelagem Climática (LACLIMA), Avenida dos Portugueses, 1966, Vila Bacanga, 65080-805 São Luís, MA, Brazil.
Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), Laboratório de Estudos do Oceano e da Atmosfera (LOA), Divisão de Observação da Terra e Geoinformática (DIOTG), Avenida dos Astronautas, 1758, Jardim da Granja, 12227-010 São José dos Campos, SP, Brazil.
An Acad Bras Cienc. 2022 Apr 8;94(suppl 1):e20210800. doi: 10.1590/0001-3765202220210800. eCollection 2022.
The formation of dense water masses at polar regions has been largely influenced by climate changes arising from global warming. In this context, based on ensemble simulations with a coupled model we evaluate the meridional shift of a climate signal (i.e., a cold and fresh water input pulse generated from melting of positive Antarctic sea ice (ASI) extremes) towards the Tropical Atlantic Ocean (TAO). This oceanic signal propagated from Southern Ocean towards the equator through the upper layers due to an increase in its buoyance. Its northward shift has given by the Subantarctic Mode Water (SAMW) and Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW) flows, that inject cold and fresh mode/intermediate waters from into subtropical basin. The signal has reached low latitudes through the equatorial upwelling and spreads out southwards, through the upper branch of southern subtropical gyre. We concluded that 10 years of coupled simulations was enough time to propagate the climate signal generated by ASI positive extremes melting, which reached TOA around 2 year later. The oceanic connection between Southern Ocean and TAO is indeed established within the timescale analyzed in the study (10 years). Nonetheless, the period needed to completely dissipate the disturbance generated from ASI seems to be longer.
极地密集水团的形成在很大程度上受到全球变暖引起的气候变化的影响。在这方面,我们基于耦合模型的集合模拟评估了气候信号(即源自正南极海冰(ASI)极端融化的冷淡水输入脉冲)向热带大西洋(TAO)的纬向移动。由于浮力增加,该海洋信号通过上层从南大洋向赤道传播。其向北的移动是由副极地模态水(SAMW)和南极中层水(AAIW)的流动引起的,它们将冷淡水从亚热带盆地注入。该信号通过赤道上升流到达低纬度地区,并向南扩散,通过南亚热带回旋的上层分支。我们得出结论,10 年的耦合模拟时间足以传播由 ASI 正极端融化产生的气候信号,该信号在大约 2 年后到达对流层顶。南大洋和 TAO 之间的海洋联系确实在研究分析的时间尺度(10 年内)内建立起来。尽管如此,从 ASI 产生的干扰完全消散所需的时间似乎更长。