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基于聚类算法的企业财务风险识别。

Identification of Enterprise Financial Risk Based on Clustering Algorithm.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Xi'an University of Technology, Xi'an 710054, China.

出版信息

Comput Intell Neurosci. 2022 Apr 12;2022:1086945. doi: 10.1155/2022/1086945. eCollection 2022.

DOI:10.1155/2022/1086945
PMID:35449741
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9018203/
Abstract

In order to solve the problem that corporate financial risks seriously affect the healthy development of enterprises, credit institutions, securities investors, and even the whole of China, the K-means clustering algorithm, the risk screening process, and the Gaussian mixture clustering algorithm, the risk screening process, are proposed; experiments have shown that although the number of high-risk companies selected by the K-means algorithm is small, only 9% of the full sample, the high-risk cluster can contain nearly 30% of the new "special treatment" companies. If the time period is extended to the next 5 years, this proportion will be higher. Finally we found that if the prediction of "special handling" events is used as the criterion for evaluating high-risk clusters, then K-means clustering can effectively screen out those risky companies that need to be treated with caution by investors. The validity of the experiment is verified.

摘要

为了解决企业财务风险严重影响企业健康发展、信用机构、证券投资者,甚至整个中国的问题,提出了 K 均值聚类算法、风险筛选过程和高斯混合聚类算法、风险筛选过程;实验表明,尽管 K 均值算法选择的高风险公司数量很少,仅占全样本的 9%,但高风险聚类可以包含近 30%的新“特别处理”公司。如果延长时间期限为接下来的 5 年,这个比例将会更高。最后我们发现,如果使用“特别处理”事件的预测作为评估高风险聚类的标准,那么 K 均值聚类可以有效地筛选出那些需要投资者谨慎对待的风险公司。实验的有效性得到了验证。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c16f/9018203/6cdd94dca331/CIN2022-1086945.007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c16f/9018203/e1f43718934d/CIN2022-1086945.001.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c16f/9018203/6cdd94dca331/CIN2022-1086945.007.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c16f/9018203/e1f43718934d/CIN2022-1086945.001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c16f/9018203/d8037e325a80/CIN2022-1086945.002.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c16f/9018203/800a5d6185fc/CIN2022-1086945.003.jpg
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https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c16f/9018203/5fea37398bee/CIN2022-1086945.006.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c16f/9018203/6cdd94dca331/CIN2022-1086945.007.jpg

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