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从系统发生和系统动力学角度理解和抗击 SARS-CoV-2 大流行早期阶段。

Phylogenetic and phylodynamic approaches to understanding and combating the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.

机构信息

Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

Pathogen Genomics Unit, Public Health Wales NHS Trust, Cardiff, UK.

出版信息

Nat Rev Genet. 2022 Sep;23(9):547-562. doi: 10.1038/s41576-022-00483-8. Epub 2022 Apr 22.

Abstract

Determining the transmissibility, prevalence and patterns of movement of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections is central to our understanding of the impact of the pandemic and to the design of effective control strategies. Phylogenies (evolutionary trees) have provided key insights into the international spread of SARS-CoV-2 and enabled investigation of individual outbreaks and transmission chains in specific settings. Phylodynamic approaches combine evolutionary, demographic and epidemiological concepts and have helped track virus genetic changes, identify emerging variants and inform public health strategy. Here, we review and synthesize studies that illustrate how phylogenetic and phylodynamic techniques were applied during the first year of the pandemic, and summarize their contributions to our understanding of SARS-CoV-2 transmission and control.

摘要

确定严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒 2(SARS-CoV-2)感染的传染性、流行率和传播模式对于我们了解大流行的影响以及设计有效的控制策略至关重要。系统发育分析(进化树)为我们提供了 SARS-CoV-2 在国际上传播的关键见解,并使我们能够调查特定环境中个别暴发和传播链。系统发生动力学方法结合了进化、人口和流行病学概念,有助于跟踪病毒遗传变化、识别新出现的变异并为公共卫生策略提供信息。在这里,我们回顾并综合了说明在大流行的第一年中如何应用系统发生和系统发生动力学技术的研究,并总结了它们对我们了解 SARS-CoV-2 传播和控制的贡献。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ffd4/9028907/70263cc5645c/41576_2022_483_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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