Biological Sciences, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID, United States of America.
School of Biological Sciences, Washington State University, Pullman, WA, United States of America.
PeerJ. 2022 Apr 18;10:e13301. doi: 10.7717/peerj.13301. eCollection 2022.
The sterile insect technique (SIT) has been used to suppress and even extinguish pest insect populations. The method involves releasing artificially reared insects (usually males) that, when mating with wild individuals, sterilize the broods. If administered on a large enough scale, the sterility can collapse the population. Precedents from other forms of population suppression, especially chemicals, raise the possibility of resistance evolving against the SIT. Here, we consider resistance in the form of evolution of female discrimination to avoid mating with sterile males. Is resistance evolution expected?
We offer mathematical models to consider the dynamics of this process. Most of our models assume a constant-release protocol, in which the same density of males is released every generation, regardless of wild male density. A few models instead assume proportional release, in which sterile releases are adjusted to be a constant proportion of wild males.
We generally find that the evolution of female discrimination, although favored by selection, will often be too slow to halt population collapse when a constant-release implementation of the SIT is applied appropriately and continually. The accelerating efficacy of sterile males in dominating matings as the population collapses works equally against discriminating females as against non-discriminating females, and rare genes for discrimination are too slow to ascend to prevent the loss of females that discriminate. Even when migration from source populations sustains the treated population, continued application of the SIT can prevent evolution of discrimination. However, periodic premature cessation of the SIT does allow discrimination to evolve. Likewise, use of a 'proportional-release' protocol is also prone to escape from extinction if discriminating genotypes exist in the population, even if those genotypes are initially rare. Overall, the SIT is robust against the evolution of mate discrimination provided care is taken to avoid some basic pitfalls. The models here provide insight for designing programs to avoid those pitfalls.
无菌昆虫技术(SIT)已被用于抑制甚至消灭害虫种群。该方法涉及释放经过人工饲养的昆虫(通常是雄性),当它们与野生个体交配时,会使后代绝育。如果在足够大的范围内实施,这种不育性可能会使种群崩溃。来自其他形式的种群抑制方法(尤其是化学物质)的先例,增加了针对 SIT 产生抗性的可能性。在这里,我们考虑了以雌性回避与不育雄性交配的形式出现的抗性进化。预计会发生抗性进化吗?
我们提供数学模型来考虑这个过程的动态。我们的大多数模型假设采用恒定释放方案,即每一代释放相同密度的雄性,而不考虑野生雄性的密度。少数模型则假设采用比例释放,即根据野生雄性的比例调整不育释放。
我们通常发现,尽管雌性回避的进化受到选择的青睐,但当适当和持续地应用 SIT 的恒定释放实施时,它的进化速度通常太慢,无法阻止种群崩溃。随着种群的崩溃,不育雄性在主导交配中的加速作用对回避雌性和不回避雌性同样有效,而回避的稀有基因进化速度太慢,无法防止回避的雌性流失。即使来自源种群的迁移维持了受处理的种群,继续应用 SIT 也可以防止回避的进化。然而,周期性地过早停止 SIT 确实允许回避的进化。同样,如果种群中存在回避基因型,即使这些基因型最初很少,使用“比例释放”协议也容易逃脱灭绝。总体而言,只要注意避免一些基本的陷阱,SIT 就可以抵抗回避的进化。这里的模型为设计避免这些陷阱的方案提供了思路。