Drake Pamela Peterson
Department of Finance and Business Law, James Madison University, Harrisonburg, Virginia, 22807, USA.
Financ Res Lett. 2022 Jan;44:102111. doi: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102111. Epub 2021 May 8.
The belief that investors shift to gold during times of economic stress, resulting in a negative correlation between gold returns and stock returns, is not supported in both the 2007-09 financial crisis and during COVID-19. However, the gold-stock market relationship is positive in periods of negative real rates of return. The evidence points to gold as a safe haven in times of stock market volatility and negative interest rates.
投资者在经济压力时期转向黄金,从而导致黄金回报与股票回报之间呈负相关的观点,在2007 - 2009年金融危机期间和新冠疫情期间均未得到证实。然而,在实际回报率为负的时期,黄金与股票市场的关系是正相关的。有证据表明,在股市波动和负利率时期,黄金是一种避险资产。